Salernitana vs Bari 1908: match statistics
Salernitana vs Bari 1908: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Salernitana played Bari 1908 in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Arechi. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Salernitana: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Bari 1908: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Salernitana scores 1.43 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Bari 1908 scores 1.43 and concedes 0.57. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Salernitana 86%, Bari 1908 14%. Over 2.5: Salernitana 43%, Bari 1908 57%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Salernitana has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.25. Salernitana: 14.7 shots per match, Bari 1908: 9.6.
Match halves
Salernitana: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.43. Bari 1908: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Salernitana: 0-15 (3 goals). Bari 1908: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bari 1908 are the favourites, although the visitors’ edge is not substantial: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, conceding just 1 goal, while Salernitana have recorded 2 wins and conceded 6 goals. Bari have won 67% of their away matches, compared with Salernitana’s 50% win rate at home, which further favours the visitors. However, the hosts have attacking strengths: at home, they average 1.75 goals and create chances worth 1.87 xG, compared with Bari’s away averages of 1.67 goals and 1.19 xG. Salernitana also average 5.5 shots on target per home match, while Bari average 3.67 away, so the outcome remains uncertain. The slight lean towards the visitors is based on their recent results and away conversion rate of 19%, compared with the hosts’ 12% at home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Salernitana’s home defence: they have not conceded a goal at home, and their BTTS rate so far is 0%. Bari have also defended well recently, conceding just 1 goal in five matches—an average of 0.2 per game—with both teams scoring in only 20% of those matches. The risk to this pick is Salernitana’s attacking form: they have averaged 1.6 goals across their last five games, and their recent xG was 1.93. The visitors average 1.67 goals away from home, but given the hosts’ home clean sheets, it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: all of Salernitana’s home matches and Bari’s away matches to date have finished below this line. Salernitana have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their home games, although their average of 1.73 xG conceded suggests we should not assume another shutout. Bari score an average of 1.67 goals away from home, but have conceded just 0.2 goals per game across their last 5 matches, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. On the other hand, the hosts have averaged 1.93 xG over their last 5 matches, so the projected total of 2.45 goals supports Under 3.5 rather than the riskier Under 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Salernitana were level at half-time in 3 of their 4 home matches, while Bari went into the break level in 3 of their last 5 games, making a tight first half the most likely scenario. The hosts could have a clearer edge after the interval: they won the second half in 3 of their 4 home matches and averaged 1.0 goal in that period, while Bari conceded an average of 1.0 goal after the break away from home. Salernitana have won 75% of their home matches without conceding, strengthening the case for a home win at full-time. The risk remains significant, as Bari have won 4 of their last 5 games and led at the break in 2 of their 3 away matches. However, the combination of Salernitana’s frequent half-time draws and strong second-half performances supports the X/1 HT/FT pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Salernitana | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bari 1908 is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Salernitana · 2.6 pts / match - Bari 1908
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bari 1908 is 126% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Salernitana · 0.57 goals / match - Bari 1908
Salernitana scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Bari 1908 keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 matches).
Bari 1908 scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Salernitana keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Salernitana
Over / Under - Bari 1908
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bari 1908 is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Salernitana · 1.71 pts / match - Bari 1908
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Salernitana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bari 1908 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Salernitana
Bari 1908
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Salernitana | Liga | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 52% | ▼ 14% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 73% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Salernitana vs Bari 1908?
The Serie C Group C match finished Salernitana 2:1 Bari 1908. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Salernitana vs Bari 1908?
Salernitana score 1.43 goals per game on average and Bari 1908 1.43. The Serie C Group C average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Salernitana's matches and 14% of Bari 1908's.
What form are Salernitana and Bari 1908 in?
Over the last 5 games Salernitana have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bari 1908 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Salernitana vs Bari 1908?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Salernitana vs Bari 1908: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.