Salford City vs Fleetwood Town: match statistics
Salford City vs Fleetwood Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Salford City played Fleetwood Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: The Peninsula Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Salford City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Fleetwood Town: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Salford City scores 1.50 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Fleetwood Town scores 1.13 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Salford City 50%, Fleetwood Town 63%. Over 2.5: Salford City 50%, Fleetwood Town 38%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Salford City has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.50. Salford City: 15.5 shots per match, Fleetwood Town: 14.8.
Match halves
Salford City: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 1.00. Fleetwood Town: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Salford City: 76-90+ (5 goals). Fleetwood Town: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Salford City have won 3 of their 4 home matches, while Fleetwood Town have won just 1 of their 4 away games. Recent form also favours the hosts: they have scored 10 goals and won 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas the visitors have scored 4 goals and suffered 3 defeats over the same period. Salford create chances worth an average of 1.9 xG per home match, compared with Fleetwood's 1.4 xG away, although they convert these into an average of just 1 goal. The defensive gap is clear: the hosts concede an average of 0.5 goals at home, while the visitors concede 1.5 away. However, Fleetwood have scored in every away match, so despite Salford's advantage, a draw remains a realistic possibility.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 50% of Salford’s home matches and 75% of Fleetwood’s away matches, while the rate was 60% for each team across their last five games. Salford averaged 1.0 goals at home, whereas Fleetwood conceded 1.5 goals per away match, with opponents posting an average xG of 1.60, which bodes well for a home goal. The visitors averaged 1.25 goals on the road and have yet to finish an away match without scoring, although Salford kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches. Caution is also warranted by Fleetwood’s return of just 4 goals in their last five games. However, the stronger indicators—Fleetwood’s consistent scoring and defensive vulnerability—point to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Over 1.5 goals: this line was surpassed in 75% of Salford City matches and 75% of Fleetwood Town matches. The hosts scored 10 goals in their last 5 games, averaging 2.0 per match, while the visitors conceded an average of 1.4 goals over that period. Salford’s attacking potential is reflected in an average xG of 1.61, while Fleetwood allows opponents chances worth an average of 1.60 xG. The forecast of 2.66 goals supports Over 1.5, but the 2.5 line is less certain: it was surpassed in 25% of Salford matches and 50% of Fleetwood matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: both teams went into the break level in 3 of their last 5 matches, and Fleetwood did not lead at the break at all during that period. Salford could gain the advantage after half-time, having averaged 1.0 second-half goals in their last 5 matches compared with Fleetwood’s 0.4. Salford’s form also supports a home win: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.0 goals, while Fleetwood have won once and scored 0.8 goals per game. The hosts also average 1.61 xG, while the visitors allow opponents 1.60 xG, strengthening the scenario of Salford settling the match in their favour after a closely contested first half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Salford City | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Salford City is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Salford City · 1 pts / match - Fleetwood Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Salford City is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Salford City · 1.13 goals / match - Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Salford City · 1.13 goals / match - Fleetwood Town
Salford City scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Fleetwood Town scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Salford City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Salford City
Over / Under - Fleetwood Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fleetwood Town is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Salford City · 1.13 pts / match - Fleetwood Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Salford City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fleetwood Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Salford City
Fleetwood Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Salford City | Liga | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Salford City 0 - 2 - 0 Fleetwood Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Salford City vs Fleetwood Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Salford City 1:0 Fleetwood Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Salford City and Fleetwood Town?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Salford City won 0, Fleetwood Town won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Salford City vs Fleetwood Town?
Salford City score 1.50 goals per game on average and Fleetwood Town 1.13. The EFL League Two average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Salford City's matches and 63% of Fleetwood Town's.
What form are Salford City and Fleetwood Town in?
Over the last 5 games Salford City have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Fleetwood Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Salford City vs Fleetwood Town?
The statistical background for Salford City vs Fleetwood Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.