Sambenedettese vs Forlì: match statistics

Sambenedettese are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while Forlì have managed just 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat. The hosts have scored 7 goals during this period, averaging 1.4 per match, compared with Forlì’s 3 goals, an average of just 0.6. Sambenedettese also hold the defensive edge, conceding 4 goals in five matches compared with 5 for the visitors. Their points tally over the last five rounds stands at 2.2 for the hosts and 1.2 for Forlì, confirming a clearly more favourable trend for the home side. Forlì’s high number of draws increases the likelihood of a closely contested match, but Sambenedettese’s greater attacking efficiency supports a home win.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Forlì have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 per game, while both teams have scored in only 40% of their matches. Sambenedettese are defensively solid, conceding 4 goals in 5 appearances during this period, an average of 0.8 goals per game, which makes it even more difficult for the visitors to break through. The hosts have greater attacking efficiency, averaging 1.4 goals and scoring 7 times in five matches, so the most likely scenario is a clean-sheet win for them. Forlì’s higher xG of 1.44 compared with Sambenedettese’s 1.25 gives the visitors some potential to score, but their current scoring output of 0.6 goals per game clearly reduces the probability of BTTS.

Sambenedettese have scored 7 goals in their last five matches, averaging 1.4 per game, while Forlì have managed just 3, averaging 0.6 goals per match. Both teams’ defenses have remained relatively solid: the hosts conceded 4 goals in their last five outings, while the visitors conceded 5. Only 40% of Sambenedettese’s last five matches and 20% of Forlì’s games finished Over 2.5 goals, despite the teams’ average xG figures indicating the potential to create chances at a level of 1.25 and 1.44, respectively. The projected total of 2.15 goals primarily points to a scoreline in the 1–3 goal range, making Under 3.5 the strongest option, supported by Forlì’s low scoring efficiency and the latest goal-scoring data.

Sambenedettese are in better form over their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Forlì are scoring just 0.6 goals per game. The hosts have won three of their last five matches and remain unbeaten, whereas the visitors have recorded only one win, along with three draws and one defeat. The first-half data is particularly strong: Sambenedettese held a lead at the break in 60% of their matches, scored an average of 0.8 goals before half-time, and conceded none during that period. Forlì were level at half-time in 60% of their games, but led in only 20% and scored just 0.4 goals before the break. The most likely outcome is therefore a home lead at half-time followed by the hosts maintaining their advantage through to full-time, although the high post-half-time draw rate of 80% for both sides limits expectations of a substantial victory.