Samgurali vs Dila: match statistics

Samgurali have a slight home advantage: they win 45% of their home matches and score an average of 1.36 goals, while Dila lose as many as 60% of their away fixtures. The hosts also create slightly better chances, as reflected by an xG of 1.45 compared with Dila’s 1.33, while their shot conversion rate stands at 13% versus 9% for their opponents. However, Dila are in better recent form, scoring 10 goals and collecting 10 points in their last five matches, while Samgurali conceded 11 goals over the same period. The visitors’ away defence remains relatively solid, allowing an average of 1.20 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 30% of matches, so this should be a closely contested game. Nevertheless, home advantage and the higher quality of chances created point to a narrow Samgurali victory.

Current form clearly supports goals from both sides, as Samgurali and Dila have each recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches. During this period, Samgurali averaged 1.6 goals scored but conceded as many as 2.2, while Dila scored 2.0 goals per match and conceded 1.2. Dila should create chances against the hosts, whose average xG conceded over their last five appearances is 1.49, while Samgurali possess attacking arguments in the form of 1.43 xG per match and an average of 4.08 shots on target. Seasonal BTTS figures are lower, at 50% for Samgurali and 40% for Dila, but both teams’ current run has been significantly more goal-heavy than these averages. The BTTS - Yes pick is therefore the stronger option, although not a maximum-confidence selection, as Dila have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches, while Samgurali have failed to score in 25% of their games this season.

Samgurali average 1.42 goals at home, while Dila concede 1.20 away from home, giving the hosts a solid foundation to score. Dila have averaged 2.0 goals in their last five matches, while Samgurali conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game during the same period. Their attacking potential is also supported by the xG figures: 1.43 for the hosts and 1.33 for the visitors, with a combined projected total of 2.75 goals. In the last five matches involving both teams, the Over 2.5 goals line was covered in 80% of cases; however, Dila’s away results over the season more often stay within a total of up to three goals. The strongest selection remains Over 1.5 goals, as both teams surpassed this line in 58% and 60% of their league matches, respectively, while their current form clearly increases the scoring potential.

The strongest scenario is a half-time draw followed by a Dila win at full time, as the visitors were level at the break in 7 of their 10 matches this season, or 70% of the time. Samgurali do have a better full-season home record, averaging 1.42 goals and 1.50 points per match compared with Dila’s 1.00 goals and 1.20 points, but current form clearly shifts the assessment in favour of the visitors. In their last five matches, Dila averaged 2.0 goals, won 60% of their games, and led at the break in 60% of them, while Samgurali conceded an average of 1.6 goals before half-time and were behind at the interval in 60% of their matches. After the break, both teams have been offensively active, averaging 1.2 goals scored in their last five appearances, which increases Dila’s chances of deciding an evenly balanced opening. A level start is also supported by Dila’s low average of 0.8 goals scored before half-time, as well as the visitors’ 70% first-half clean-sheet rate this season.