Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi: match statistics

Samgurali are clearly more solid at home: they win 56% of their home matches, score an average of 1.56 goals and concede just 1.00, while Dinamo Batumi win only 20% of their away games. The hosts also create better chances, as reflected by an average xG of 1.55 compared with Dinamo’s 1.19, while their 4.89 shots on target per match comfortably exceed the visitors’ 2.8. Dinamo have been in good form recently, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and 11 goals scored, but they fail to score in as many as 40% of their away appearances. Batumi’s away defence concedes an average of 1.60 goals and keeps a clean sheet in only 10% of matches, further strengthening the case for Samgurali to make the most of home advantage. The hosts’ form has also remained stable, as they have lost only once in their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 2 draws.

Samgurali have recorded BTTS in 70% of their matches this season, while Dinamo Batumi have done so in 60%, meaning both figures are above the league average of 57%. The hosts score an average of 1.8 goals but concede 1.6, whereas the visitors score 1.2 and also allow opponents 1.6 goals. In their last five matches, Dinamo Batumi scored as many as 2.2 goals per game, with BTTS landing in 80% of those fixtures, significantly strengthening the chances of them finding the net. Samgurali recently created chances worth 1.77 xG, while Dinamo Batumi recorded 1.42 xG, with clean sheets achieved by both sides in just 10% of matches throughout the season. The most likely scenario is therefore a goal for each team, although the visitors' weaker season-long finishing leaves a moderate risk of BTTS No. BTTS No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

Samgurali plays open matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, with at least 2 goals scored in 90% of its games. Dinamo Batumi also has a favorable goals profile, as 70% of its matches went Over 1.5 goals, while averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Both defenses keep clean sheets in only 10% of matches, while in their last five games the teams averaged 1.6 and 2.2 goals per match, respectively. Their attacking potential is also supported by their recent xG averages: 1.77 for Samgurali and 1.42 for Dinamo, both higher than their season averages. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest choice, combining a very high historical hit rate for this line with both attacks outperforming their opponents' defenses.

The strongest signal is Dinamo Batumi’s first-half form: in their last five matches, the visitors were leading at the break in 100% of games, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding just 0.2. Over the same period, Samgurali failed to lead at half-time in any match, while 80% of those games were level at the break. Dinamo also have the better current run of results, with three wins in their last five matches and an average of 2.2 goals scored, compared with Samgurali’s two wins and 1.6 goals per game. The hosts have created slightly more chances over the course of the season, as reflected by their xG of 1.43 versus 1.19, but Dinamo control the opening stages more effectively and have a very solid 60% rate of clean sheets at half-time. After the interval, the visitors concede an average of 1.2 goals, so turnaround scenarios remain realistic; however, Dinamo’s first-half advantage and current form provide the strongest support for the 2/2 HT/FT outcome.