Georgia - Erovnuli LigaStadioni Murtaz KhurtsilavaData current as of 14 October 2026

Samgurali vs Meshakhte: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Samgurali vs Meshakhte: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Samgurali play Meshakhte in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava.

Current form

Samgurali: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Meshakhte: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Samgurali scores 1.46 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. Meshakhte scores 0.75 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.69 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Samgurali 68%, Meshakhte 57%. Over 2.5: Samgurali 68%, Meshakhte 46%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Samgurali has higher xG: 1.49 vs 0.97. Samgurali: 11.6 shots per match, Meshakhte: 7.4.

Match halves

Samgurali: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.89. Meshakhte: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Samgurali: 76-90+ (14 goals). Meshakhte: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Erovnuli Liga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

SamguraliMeshakhte
1.46Goals scored / match0.75
SamguraliMeshakhte
1.86Goals conceded / match1.64
SamguraliMeshakhte
50%Average possession47%
SamguraliMeshakhte
4.57Shots on target / match2.29
SamguraliMeshakhte

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.61Shots per match7.43
SamguraliMeshakhte
4.57Shots on target2.29
SamguraliMeshakhte
12.6%Shot conversion10.1%
SamguraliMeshakhte
50%Possession47%
SamguraliMeshakhte
1.49xG for0.97
SamguraliMeshakhte
1.46xG against1.55
SamguraliMeshakhte

Shooting quality

Samgurali: BalancedMeshakhte: Balanced
SamguraliMeshakhte
Accuracy (shots on target)39%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Samgurali
LLLLW
Season result split
36% W18% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-13
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Meshakhte
DDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
7% W39% D54% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-11-15
0.61 pts / match · goal difference -25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-5-7
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LLWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Samgurali is 95% better for: goals scored per match.

1.46 goals / match - Samgurali · 0.75 goals / match - Meshakhte

Meshakhte is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.86 goals / match - Samgurali · 1.64 goals / match - Meshakhte

Samgurali scoring profile: very strong

Samgurali scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Meshakhte keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).

Meshakhte scoring profile: strong

Meshakhte scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Samgurali keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).

41Goals scored (season)21
SamguraliMeshakhte
52Goals conceded (season)46
SamguraliMeshakhte
3.32Average goals in match2.39
SamguraliMeshakhte
9Goals scored (last 5)4
SamguraliMeshakhte
11Goals conceded (last 5)6
SamguraliMeshakhte

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal64%
SamguraliMeshakhte
43%2 goals11%
SamguraliMeshakhte
21%3 goals0%
SamguraliMeshakhte
4%4 goals0%
SamguraliMeshakhte

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal75%
SamguraliMeshakhte
50%2 goals50%
SamguraliMeshakhte
32%3 goals21%
SamguraliMeshakhte
14%4 goals11%
SamguraliMeshakhte

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
SamguraliMeshakhte
7%BTTS in both halves0%
SamguraliMeshakhte
29%Scored in both halves0%
SamguraliMeshakhte

BTTS and goal count

61%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
SamguraliMeshakhte
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
SamguraliMeshakhte
80%BTTS - last 560%
SamguraliMeshakhte

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
SamguraliMeshakhte
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
SamguraliMeshakhte
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
SamguraliMeshakhte

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
SamguraliMeshakhte
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
SamguraliMeshakhte
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
SamguraliMeshakhte

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Samgurali is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.89 pts / match - Samgurali · 0.75 pts / match - Meshakhte

Samgurali - half-time state
18% leading36% draw46% trailing
Meshakhte - half-time state
7% leading54% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.89Points per match (1st half)0.75
SamguraliMeshakhte
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.32
SamguraliMeshakhte
1.04Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
SamguraliMeshakhte
1.61Average goals (1st half)1.07
SamguraliMeshakhte
39%Clean sheet before half-time46%
SamguraliMeshakhte
57%No goal before half-time71%
SamguraliMeshakhte

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)0.89
SamguraliMeshakhte
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
SamguraliMeshakhte
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
SamguraliMeshakhte
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.32
SamguraliMeshakhte
46%Clean sheet after half-time50%
SamguraliMeshakhte
36%No goal after half-time64%
SamguraliMeshakhte

Samgurali - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
25
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Meshakhte - second-half results

14% W46% D39% L
21
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 7%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Samgurali - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match2.41.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Meshakhte - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match1.60.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Samgurali
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
2
9
16-30
9
11
31-45
7
5
46-60
4
8
61-75
14
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Meshakhte
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
11
16-30
3
8
31-45
1
10
46-60
5
6
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Samgurali

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

Meshakhte

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).

Teams vs league

SamguraliLigaMeshakhte
Average goals in match▲ 3.322.69▼ 2.39
Both teams scored▲ 68%58%• 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 68%54%▼ 46%
Clean sheets▼ 21%25%• 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 79%69%▼ 57%
Goal after half-time▲ 79%74%▼ 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.69
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+13%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Samgurali 2 - 1 - 0 Meshakhte. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

When do Samgurali and Meshakhte play?

Samgurali face Meshakhte on 17 October 2026 in Erovnuli Liga at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Samgurali and Meshakhte?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Samgurali won 2, Meshakhte won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

Samgurali score 1.46 goals per game on average and Meshakhte 0.75. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Samgurali's matches and 57% of Meshakhte's.

What form are Samgurali and Meshakhte in?

Over the last 5 games Samgurali have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Meshakhte 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

The statistical background for Samgurali vs Meshakhte — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.