Sampdoria vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sampdoria played Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Sampdoria: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Carrarese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sampdoria scores 0.86 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Carrarese scores 1.29 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sampdoria 57%, Carrarese 50%. Over 2.5: Sampdoria 36%, Carrarese 50%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Sampdoria has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.43. Sampdoria: 13.8 shots per match, Carrarese: 12.9.

Match halves

Sampdoria: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.79. Carrarese: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

Sampdoria: 76-90+ (5 goals). Carrarese: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
SampdoriaCarrarese
15Shots7
SampdoriaCarrarese
7Shots on target3
SampdoriaCarrarese
1.74xG0.81
SampdoriaCarrarese
7Corners1
SampdoriaCarrarese
41Dangerous attacks20
SampdoriaCarrarese
21Fouls13
SampdoriaCarrarese
7Cards3
SampdoriaCarrarese

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

SampdoriaCarrarese
0.86Goals scored / match1.29
SampdoriaCarrarese
1.43Goals conceded / match1.5
SampdoriaCarrarese
51%Average possession51%
SampdoriaCarrarese
3.5Shots on target / match3.86
SampdoriaCarrarese

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.79Shots per match12.93
SampdoriaCarrarese
3.5Shots on target3.86
SampdoriaCarrarese
6.2%Shot conversion9.9%
SampdoriaCarrarese
51%Possession51%
SampdoriaCarrarese
1.45xG for1.43
SampdoriaCarrarese
1.23xG against1.4
SampdoriaCarrarese

Shooting quality

Sampdoria: BalancedCarrarese: Balanced
SampdoriaCarrarese
Accuracy (shots on target)25%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sampdoria is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Sampdoria · 0.4 pts / match - Carrarese

Sampdoria
DLLWL
Season result split
14% W29% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-8
0.71 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Carrarese
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
21% W50% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-7-4
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-2
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DDLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carrarese is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

0.86 goals / match - Sampdoria · 1.29 goals / match - Carrarese

Sampdoria is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.43 goals / match - Sampdoria · 1.5 goals / match - Carrarese

Sampdoria scoring profile: strong

Sampdoria scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).

Carrarese scoring profile: very strong

Carrarese scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Sampdoria keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).

12Goals scored (season)18
SampdoriaCarrarese
20Goals conceded (season)21
SampdoriaCarrarese
2.29Average goals in match2.79
SampdoriaCarrarese
3Goals scored (last 5)2
SampdoriaCarrarese
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
SampdoriaCarrarese

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal64%
SampdoriaCarrarese
7%2 goals43%
SampdoriaCarrarese
7%3 goals21%
SampdoriaCarrarese
7%4 goals0%
SampdoriaCarrarese

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal64%
SampdoriaCarrarese
36%2 goals50%
SampdoriaCarrarese
21%3 goals14%
SampdoriaCarrarese
0%4 goals14%
SampdoriaCarrarese

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time21%
SampdoriaCarrarese
0%BTTS in both halves21%
SampdoriaCarrarese
0%Scored in both halves43%
SampdoriaCarrarese

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
SampdoriaCarrarese
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
SampdoriaCarrarese
40%BTTS - last 540%
SampdoriaCarrarese

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
SampdoriaCarrarese
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
SampdoriaCarrarese
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
SampdoriaCarrarese

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
SampdoriaCarrarese
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
SampdoriaCarrarese
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
SampdoriaCarrarese

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carrarese is 112% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.57 pts / match - Sampdoria · 1.21 pts / match - Carrarese

Sampdoria - half-time state
0% leading57% draw43% trailing
Carrarese - half-time state
21% leading57% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.57Points per match (1st half)1.21
SampdoriaCarrarese
0.07Goals scored (1st half)0.5
SampdoriaCarrarese
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
SampdoriaCarrarese
0.86Average goals (1st half)1.07
SampdoriaCarrarese
50%Clean sheet before half-time57%
SampdoriaCarrarese
93%No goal before half-time57%
SampdoriaCarrarese

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.14
SampdoriaCarrarese
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
SampdoriaCarrarese
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)0.93
SampdoriaCarrarese
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.71
SampdoriaCarrarese
43%Clean sheet after half-time36%
SampdoriaCarrarese
43%No goal after half-time36%
SampdoriaCarrarese

Sampdoria - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
8
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.57
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carrarese - second-half results

21% W50% D29% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sampdoria - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.41.4
1 goal20%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Carrarese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.60
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-4-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sampdoria
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
8
31-45
2
3
46-60
4
1
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
2
5
46-60
3
3
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sampdoria

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.79
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

SampdoriaLigaCarrarese
Average goals in match 2.292.52 2.79
Both teams scored 57%54% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%48% 50%
Clean sheets 14%28% 36%
Goal before half-time 50%68% 64%
Goal after half-time 86%74% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.47
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+39%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CarrareseGoalFabio AbiusoAssist: Mattia Finotto
  2. SampdoriaYellow cardLiam Henderson
  3. SampdoriaGoalMassimo CodaAssist: Simone Pafundi
  4. CarrareseGoalFabio AbiusoAssist: Simone Zanon
  5. SampdoriaGoalLiam HendersonAssist: Massimo Coda
  6. CarrareseYellow cardJulián Illanes Minucci
  7. SampdoriaYellow cardAlex Ferrari
  8. SampdoriaSubstitutionOn: Dennis HadžikadunićOff: Alex Ferrari
  9. SampdoriaSubstitutionOn: Leonardo BenedettiOff: Luigi Cherubini
  10. SampdoriaSubstitutionOn: Alessandro Pio RiccioOff: Lorenzo Venuti
  11. CarrareseSubstitutionOn: Kleis BozhanajOff: Luis Hasa
  12. SampdoriaSubstitutionOn: Antonín BarákOff: Simone Pafundi
  13. CarrareseSubstitutionOn: Ernesto TorregrossaOff: Fabio Abiuso
  14. SampdoriaSubstitutionOn: Matteo RicciOff: Liam Henderson
  15. SampdoriaGoalMassimo Coda
  16. SampdoriaYellow cardLuigi Cherubini
  17. CarrareseYellow cardErnesto Torregrossa
  18. SampdoriaYellow cardMassimo Coda
  19. SampdoriaYellow cardFabio Depaoli
  20. SampdoriaYellow cardLeonardo Benedetti
  21. SampdoriaYellow cardNicholas Ioannou
  22. CarrareseYellow cardNicolás Adrián Schiavi

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Sampdoria vs Carrarese?

The Serie B match finished Sampdoria 3:2 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sampdoria vs Carrarese?

Sampdoria score 0.86 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.29. The Serie B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Sampdoria's matches and 50% of Carrarese's.

What form are Sampdoria and Carrarese in?

Over the last 5 games Sampdoria have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Carrarese 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sampdoria vs Carrarese?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.