Italy - Serie BData current as of 12 September 2026

Sampdoria vs Palermo: match statistics

Sampdoria crest
Sampdoria
3 : 3half-time 0:1
Palermo crest
Palermo
130%(3.16)
X30%(3.00)
240%(2.30)

Palermo sits in 4th place in the table with an impressive record of 12 victories and just 3 losses in the season, while Sampdoria ranks at 14th position with clearly weaker form. The visitors present excellent disposition in the last five matches (2.2 points per match, 3 wins without a defeat), whereas the hosts show instability despite a decent home record. Palermo has a better goal difference both overall (36:16) and in away matches (+6 difference), while Sampdoria has scored just 23 goals all season. A key factor is also Palermo's higher effectiveness (10% conversion rate) and solid defense (0.82 goals conceded per away match). Considering the advantage in form, table position, and offensive-defensive statistics, Palermo has higher chances of victory, although Sampdoria's solid home record (45% wins at home) makes a draw a realistic scenario as well.

Sampdoria vs Palermo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sampdoria played Palermo in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 10 February 2026. Final score: 3:3.

Current form

Sampdoria: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Palermo: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sampdoria scores 1.00 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Palermo scores 1.57 and concedes 0.70. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sampdoria 61%, Palermo 39%. Over 2.5: Sampdoria 39%, Palermo 39%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Palermo has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.43. Sampdoria: 13.3 shots per match, Palermo: 14.2.

Match halves

Sampdoria: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.74. Palermo: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.96.

Goals by minute

Sampdoria: 76-90+ (10 goals). Palermo: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Palermo sits in 4th place in the table with an impressive record of 12 victories and just 3 losses in the season, while Sampdoria ranks at 14th position with clearly weaker form. The visitors present excellent disposition in the last five matches (2.2 points per match, 3 wins without a defeat), whereas the hosts show instability despite a decent home record. Palermo has a better goal difference both overall (36:16) and in away matches (+6 difference), while Sampdoria has scored just 23 goals all season. A key factor is also Palermo's higher effectiveness (10% conversion rate) and solid defense (0.82 goals conceded per away match). Considering the advantage in form, table position, and offensive-defensive statistics, Palermo has higher chances of victory, although Sampdoria's solid home record (45% wins at home) makes a draw a realistic scenario as well.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
3 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
SampdoriaPalermo
13Shots15
SampdoriaPalermo
5Shots on target3
SampdoriaPalermo
1.39xG1.5
SampdoriaPalermo
3Corners4
SampdoriaPalermo
30Dangerous attacks48
SampdoriaPalermo
5Fouls7
SampdoriaPalermo
3Cards4
SampdoriaPalermo

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1.57
SampdoriaPalermo
1.26Goals conceded / match0.7
SampdoriaPalermo
50%Average possession49%
SampdoriaPalermo
3.87Shots on target / match4.35
SampdoriaPalermo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.3Shots per match14.22
SampdoriaPalermo
3.87Shots on target4.35
SampdoriaPalermo
7.5%Shot conversion11%
SampdoriaPalermo
50%Possession49%
SampdoriaPalermo
1.43xG for1.54
SampdoriaPalermo
1.21xG against1.29
SampdoriaPalermo

Shooting quality

Sampdoria: BalancedPalermo: Attacking
SampdoriaPalermo
Accuracy (shots on target)29%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Palermo is 38% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Sampdoria · 2.2 pts / match - Palermo

Sampdoria
LDDWW
Season result split
26% W30% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-10
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Palermo
DWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
52% W35% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-3
1.91 pts / match · goal difference +20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-2
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palermo is 57% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Sampdoria · 1.57 goals / match - Palermo

Palermo is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.26 goals / match - Sampdoria · 0.7 goals / match - Palermo

Sampdoria scoring profile: mixed

Sampdoria scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).

Palermo scoring profile: very strong

Palermo scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Sampdoria keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).

23Goals scored (season)36
SampdoriaPalermo
29Goals conceded (season)16
SampdoriaPalermo
2.26Average goals in match2.26
SampdoriaPalermo
5Goals scored (last 5)8
SampdoriaPalermo
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
SampdoriaPalermo

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal74%
SampdoriaPalermo
17%2 goals43%
SampdoriaPalermo
9%3 goals22%
SampdoriaPalermo
4%4 goals9%
SampdoriaPalermo

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal52%
SampdoriaPalermo
30%2 goals13%
SampdoriaPalermo
13%3 goals4%
SampdoriaPalermo
0%4 goals0%
SampdoriaPalermo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time4%
SampdoriaPalermo
0%BTTS in both halves4%
SampdoriaPalermo
9%Scored in both halves30%
SampdoriaPalermo

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS22%
SampdoriaPalermo
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
SampdoriaPalermo
60%BTTS - last 540%
SampdoriaPalermo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
SampdoriaPalermo
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
SampdoriaPalermo
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SampdoriaPalermo

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
SampdoriaPalermo
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
SampdoriaPalermo
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
SampdoriaPalermo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palermo is 105% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.83 pts / match - Sampdoria · 1.7 pts / match - Palermo

Sampdoria - half-time state
9% leading57% draw35% trailing
Palermo - half-time state
48% leading26% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.83Points per match (1st half)1.7
SampdoriaPalermo
0.26Goals scored (1st half)0.61
SampdoriaPalermo
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.3
SampdoriaPalermo
0.96Average goals (1st half)0.91
SampdoriaPalermo
52%Clean sheet before half-time70%
SampdoriaPalermo
78%No goal before half-time48%
SampdoriaPalermo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)1.65
SampdoriaPalermo
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
SampdoriaPalermo
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
SampdoriaPalermo
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.35
SampdoriaPalermo
48%Clean sheet after half-time65%
SampdoriaPalermo
43%No goal after half-time48%
SampdoriaPalermo

Sampdoria - second-half results

35% W39% D26% L
19
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding289%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Palermo - second-half results

39% W48% D13% L
39
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sampdoria - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.41.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Palermo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sampdoria
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
4
4
16-30
2
9
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
4
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Palermo
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
5
0
16-30
5
6
31-45
8
1
46-60
5
3
61-75
9
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.27
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-56%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sampdoria

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Palermo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
49%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

SampdoriaLigaPalermo
Average goals in match 2.262.47 2.26
Both teams scored 61%55% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%47% 39%
Clean sheets 17%27% 48%
Goal before half-time 57%70% 78%
Goal after half-time 83%75% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.05
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PalermoYellow cardMattia Bani
  2. PalermoYellow cardClaudio Amarildo Gomes
  3. SampdoriaGoalOliver Abildgaard
  4. PalermoSubstitutionOn: Jacopo SegreOff: Claudio Amarildo Gomes
  5. SampdoriaSubstitutionOn: Matteo RicciOff: Francesco Conti
  6. SampdoriaGoalTjaš BegićAssist: Alessandro Di Pardo
  7. SampdoriaYellow cardTjaš Begić
  8. PalermoSubstitutionOn: Pietro CeccaroniOff: Patryk Peda
  9. PalermoSubstitutionOn: Jérémy Le DouaronOff: Giangiacomo Magnani
  10. SampdoriaYellow cardLuigi Cherubini
  11. PalermoYellow cardFilippo Ranocchia
  12. SampdoriaSubstitutionOn: Antonín BarákOff: Liam Henderson
  13. PalermoYellow cardJérémy Le Douaron
  14. SampdoriaYellow cardAntonín Barák
  15. SampdoriaSubstitutionOn: Alessandro Pio RiccioOff: Nicholas Pierini

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Sampdoria 0 - 0 - 1 Palermo. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Sampdoria vs Palermo?

The Serie B match finished Sampdoria 3:3 Palermo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sampdoria vs Palermo?

Sampdoria score 1.00 goals per game on average and Palermo 1.57. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Sampdoria's matches and 39% of Palermo's.

What form are Sampdoria and Palermo in?

Over the last 5 games Sampdoria have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Palermo 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sampdoria vs Palermo?

The statistical background for Sampdoria vs Palermo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.