Sampdoria vs Spezia: match statistics
Sampdoria are solid at home with a 40% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts record a higher average xG in home matches (1.54) compared to Spezia's away xG (1.27), indicating better quality of chances created. Spezia have poor away form with 60% losses and only 20% wins, as well as a lower average shots on target (3.7) than Sampdoria at home (4.1). Both teams have identical form in the last five matches (1.2 PPG), however, home advantage and better offensive statistics speak in favor of the hosts. A draw remains a realistic option due to Sampdoria's 30% DrawPercentage in home matches and the tight battle in the bottom half of the table.
Sampdoria vs Spezia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sampdoria played Spezia in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sampdoria: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Spezia: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sampdoria scores 0.95 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Spezia scores 0.90 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sampdoria 62%, Spezia 52%. Over 2.5: Sampdoria 38%, Spezia 38%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Sampdoria has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.23. Sampdoria: 13.7 shots per match, Spezia: 10.5.
Match halves
Sampdoria: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.67. Spezia: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Sampdoria: 76-90+ (8 goals). Spezia: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sampdoria are solid at home with a 40% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts record a higher average xG in home matches (1.54) compared to Spezia's away xG (1.27), indicating better quality of chances created. Spezia have poor away form with 60% losses and only 20% wins, as well as a lower average shots on target (3.7) than Sampdoria at home (4.1). Both teams have identical form in the last five matches (1.2 PPG), however, home advantage and better offensive statistics speak in favor of the hosts. A draw remains a realistic option due to Sampdoria's 30% DrawPercentage in home matches and the tight battle in the bottom half of the table.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sampdoria | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sampdoria is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Sampdoria · 0.9 goals / match - Spezia
Sampdoria scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Spezia scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Sampdoria keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sampdoria
Over / Under - Spezia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Spezia is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Sampdoria · 1 pts / match - Spezia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sampdoria - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sampdoria
Spezia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Sampdoria | Liga | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.46 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sampdoria 0 - 0 - 1 Spezia. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sampdoria vs Spezia?
The Serie B match finished Sampdoria 1:0 Spezia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sampdoria vs Spezia?
Sampdoria score 0.95 goals per game on average and Spezia 0.90. The Serie B average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Sampdoria's matches and 52% of Spezia's.
What form are Sampdoria and Spezia in?
Over the last 5 games Sampdoria have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Spezia 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sampdoria vs Spezia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.