Samsunspor vs Galatasaray: match statistics
Samsunspor vs Galatasaray: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Samsunspor played Galatasaray in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Samsunspor: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Galatasaray: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Samsunspor scores 1.26 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Galatasaray scores 2.32 and concedes 0.74. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Samsunspor 65%, Galatasaray 55%. Over 2.5: Samsunspor 52%, Galatasaray 68%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Galatasaray has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.42. Samsunspor: 13.1 shots per match, Galatasaray: 16.4.
Match halves
Samsunspor: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.77. Galatasaray: half-time lead 65%, second-half goals 1.32.
Goals by minute
Samsunspor: 76-90+ (12 goals). Galatasaray: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Galatasaray are clear favorites: they sit 1st with 23 wins and 72 goals this season, and away they average 2.0 goals scored and only 0.73 conceded per match. Samsunspor are 7th with 11 wins and 39 goals this season; at home they average 1.0 goal and 1.07 conceded, and have 40% of matches without scoring. xG indicates Samsunspor’s home xG is 1.53 but they convert it at 1.0 goals (difference -0.53), while Galatasaray’s away xG is 1.42 and they score 2.0 goals (difference +0.58), signaling significantly better finishing by the visitors. Finishing efficiency confirms this: Galatasaray’s away conversion rate is 16% with 4.33 SOT, versus Samsunspor’s 7% and 4.07 SOT — meaning the visitors turn similar chances into goals more than twice as often. Considering Galatasaray’s 73% away win rate, Samsunspor’s 47% home draw rate, and the defensive edge (0.73 vs 1.07 goals conceded), I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Samsunspor has a seasonal BTTS rate of 63% while Galatasaray sits at 47%, with the league average BTTS at 54%; in the last 5 matches both teams show 80% (Samsunspor) and 60% (Galatasaray), indicating elevated risk of Goal/Goal. Samsunspor creates more chances – averaging 2.63 goals scored this season and xG 2.13 with 6.94 shots on target, versus Galatasaray xG 1.42 and 4.33 shots on target; this favors a home-side goal. Galatasaray still averages 2.00 goals per match and has 72 scored and only 23 conceded (seasonConcededAVG_away 0.73), but in the last 5 matches they concede 1.0 on average and had BTTS 60%, so a clean sheet expected is not guaranteed. The weight of Samsunspor’s high xG and shots on target together with recent BTTS trends leads me to a 66% forecast for 'BTTS - Yes' and 34% for 'No Goal'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I project approximately 1.70 goals for Samsunspor (xG 2.13 vs hosts’ conceded xG 1.27) and 1.19 for Galatasaray (xG 1.42 vs hosts’ conceded xG 0.96), totaling around 2.89 goals. With that combined xG, a Poisson distribution yields about a 78% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), 55% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and 33% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Seasonal shares of matches over 1.5 stand at 94% for the home side and 80% for the visitors, and over 2.5 at 75% and 60%, respectively, which biases estimates toward overs. The hosts average 19.81 shots (6.94 on target) versus the visitors’ 12.8 (4.33 on target), and the percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 63% for Samsunspor and 47% for Galatasaray, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. Consequently I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (forecast 83%), with a moderate probability for Over 2.5 (61%) and a relatively low probability for Over 3.5 (36%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Galatasaray led at the break in 67% of their away matches, and in the last 5 fixtures they led at the break in 80%, with an average of 1.2 first-half goals versus Samsunspor’s 0.4 over the same period. At the same time Samsunspor are very dangerous after the interval at home — they average 1.69 second-half goals and in 94% of home games there is at least one goal after the break. The hosts also register higher xG (2.13 vs 1.42), more shots on target (6.94 vs 4.33) and on the season score 2.63 goals at home compared to Galatasaray’s 2.00 away. Considering the visitors’ tendency to lead at the break (67% overall, 80% in the last 5) alongside Samsunspor’s second-half strength (1.69 second-half goals and 69% second-half win rate at home), the most likely scenario is Galatasaray leading at half-time and Samsunspor winning by full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Samsunspor | Galatasaray | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Galatasaray is 84% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Samsunspor · 2.32 goals / match - Galatasaray
Galatasaray is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Samsunspor · 0.74 goals / match - Galatasaray
Samsunspor scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Galatasaray keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).
Galatasaray scores in 90% of matches (28 of 31 matches), while Samsunspor keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Samsunspor
Over / Under - Galatasaray
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Galatasaray is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Samsunspor · 2.16 pts / match - Galatasaray
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Samsunspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Galatasaray - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 65% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Samsunspor
Galatasaray
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Samsunspor | Liga | Galatasaray | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.58 | 2.62 | ▲ 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 54% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 52% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 66% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 79% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Samsunspor 0 - 0 - 1 Galatasaray. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Samsunspor vs Galatasaray?
The Süper Lig match finished Samsunspor 4:1 Galatasaray. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Samsunspor vs Galatasaray?
Samsunspor score 1.26 goals per game on average and Galatasaray 2.32. The Süper Lig average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Samsunspor's matches and 55% of Galatasaray's.
What form are Samsunspor and Galatasaray in?
Over the last 5 games Samsunspor have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Galatasaray 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Samsunspor vs Galatasaray?
The statistical background for Samsunspor vs Galatasaray — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.