Samsunspor vs Kayserispor: match statistics
Samsunspor presents themselves significantly better than Kayserispor, occupying 9th place in the table compared to the visitors' 17th position. The hosts have a better home goal difference (-3) than Kayserispor's away record (-10), as well as a higher xG (1.45 vs 1.21), indicating greater attacking efficiency. Kayserispor wins only 8% of their away fixtures and concedes an average of 1.54 goals per game, which, coupled with poor form over the last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses), makes them clear outsiders. At home, Samsunspor keeps clean sheets in 42% of their matches and controls an average of 57% possession, giving them a tactical advantage. Considering all statistics, the hosts have a solid chance of claiming all three points, although their tendency to draw (50% of home matches) warrants caution. The high draw rate for both teams suggests that such a result is also viable, hence a significant probability of a shared points outcome.
Samsunspor vs Kayserispor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Samsunspor played Kayserispor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Samsunspor: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Kayserispor: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Samsunspor scores 1.08 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Kayserispor scores 0.76 and concedes 1.84. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Samsunspor 56%, Kayserispor 52%. Over 2.5: Samsunspor 40%, Kayserispor 48%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Samsunspor has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.29. Samsunspor: 12.6 shots per match, Kayserispor: 11.6.
Match halves
Samsunspor: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.64. Kayserispor: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Samsunspor: 76-90+ (7 goals). Kayserispor: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Samsunspor presents themselves significantly better than Kayserispor, occupying 9th place in the table compared to the visitors' 17th position. The hosts have a better home goal difference (-3) than Kayserispor's away record (-10), as well as a higher xG (1.45 vs 1.21), indicating greater attacking efficiency. Kayserispor wins only 8% of their away fixtures and concedes an average of 1.54 goals per game, which, coupled with poor form over the last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses), makes them clear outsiders. At home, Samsunspor keeps clean sheets in 42% of their matches and controls an average of 57% possession, giving them a tactical advantage. Considering all statistics, the hosts have a solid chance of claiming all three points, although their tendency to draw (50% of home matches) warrants caution. The high draw rate for both teams suggests that such a result is also viable, hence a significant probability of a shared points outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Samsunspor | Kayserispor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kayserispor is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Samsunspor · 1 pts / match - Kayserispor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Samsunspor is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Samsunspor · 0.76 goals / match - Kayserispor
Samsunspor is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Samsunspor · 1.84 goals / match - Kayserispor
Samsunspor scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Kayserispor keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
Kayserispor scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Samsunspor keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Samsunspor
Over / Under - Kayserispor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Samsunspor is 113% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Samsunspor · 0.6 pts / match - Kayserispor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Samsunspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kayserispor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Samsunspor
Kayserispor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Samsunspor | Liga | Kayserispor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.28 | 2.59 | • 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 66% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Samsunspor 1 - 0 - 0 Kayserispor. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Samsunspor vs Kayserispor?
The Süper Lig match finished Samsunspor 2:1 Kayserispor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Samsunspor vs Kayserispor?
Samsunspor score 1.08 goals per game on average and Kayserispor 0.76. The Süper Lig average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Samsunspor's matches and 52% of Kayserispor's.
What form are Samsunspor and Kayserispor in?
Over the last 5 games Samsunspor have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Kayserispor 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Samsunspor vs Kayserispor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Samsunspor vs Kayserispor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.