Samsunspor vs Kocaelispor: match statistics
Samsunspor presents solid home form with 33% wins and an impressive goal difference of 0 in home matches, scoring an average of 1 goal while conceding just 1 goal per match. The hosts dominate possession (56%) and show high efficiency in creating chances with an xG of 1.51. Kocaelispor performs very poorly on the road with just 13% wins, 63% losses, and a negative goal difference of -7, scoring on average only 0.75 goals while conceding 1.63. The guests' recent away form is alarming (llllwldd), and 50% of their matches end without scoring a goal. Given Samsunspor's advantage in every statistical aspect and Kocaelispor's clear weakness in away matches, I expect a home victory, though their overall recent form (lwlwd) and tendency for home draws (44%) suggest this will not be an easy encounter.
Samsunspor vs Kocaelispor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Samsunspor played Kocaelispor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Samsunspor: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Kocaelispor: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Samsunspor scores 1.28 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Kocaelispor scores 0.89 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Samsunspor 67%, Kocaelispor 44%. Over 2.5: Samsunspor 39%, Kocaelispor 28%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Samsunspor has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.21. Samsunspor: 13.2 shots per match, Kocaelispor: 10.7.
Match halves
Samsunspor: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. Kocaelispor: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Samsunspor: 0-15 (5 goals). Kocaelispor: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Samsunspor presents solid home form with 33% wins and an impressive goal difference of 0 in home matches, scoring an average of 1 goal while conceding just 1 goal per match. The hosts dominate possession (56%) and show high efficiency in creating chances with an xG of 1.51. Kocaelispor performs very poorly on the road with just 13% wins, 63% losses, and a negative goal difference of -7, scoring on average only 0.75 goals while conceding 1.63. The guests' recent away form is alarming (llllwldd), and 50% of their matches end without scoring a goal. Given Samsunspor's advantage in every statistical aspect and Kocaelispor's clear weakness in away matches, I expect a home victory, though their overall recent form (lwlwd) and tendency for home draws (44%) suggest this will not be an easy encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Samsunspor | Kocaelispor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kocaelispor is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Samsunspor · 1.6 pts / match - Kocaelispor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Samsunspor is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Samsunspor · 0.89 goals / match - Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Samsunspor · 1.06 goals / match - Kocaelispor
Samsunspor scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Kocaelispor keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Kocaelispor scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Samsunspor keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Samsunspor
Over / Under - Kocaelispor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Samsunspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kocaelispor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Samsunspor
Kocaelispor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Samsunspor | Liga | Kocaelispor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.60 | ▼ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 48% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 66% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Samsunspor 1 - 0 - 0 Kocaelispor. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Samsunspor vs Kocaelispor?
The Süper Lig match finished Samsunspor 0:0 Kocaelispor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Samsunspor vs Kocaelispor?
Samsunspor score 1.28 goals per game on average and Kocaelispor 0.89. The Süper Lig average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Samsunspor's matches and 44% of Kocaelispor's.
What form are Samsunspor and Kocaelispor in?
Over the last 5 games Samsunspor have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Kocaelispor 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Samsunspor vs Kocaelispor?
The statistical background for Samsunspor vs Kocaelispor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.