San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Nacional Potosí: match statistics

San Antonio Bulo Bulo sit only 13th in the table, but they win 57% of their home matches and average 1.57 goals, while Nacional Potosí have won just 14% of their away games. The hosts also create more chances: their average home xG stands at 1.50 compared with Nacional’s 1.11 away from home, while the average number of shots on target is 5.14 to 3.29. The visitors’ away defence appears vulnerable to pressure, conceding an average xG of 1.99 and 1.43 goals per match. Nacional have a slightly better record over their last five games, collecting 7 points compared with the hosts’ 6, but San Antonio have won 2 of their last 5 matches and should make the most of their clear home advantage. The teams’ recent results suggest an open game, but the hosts’ superior chance quality points towards a narrow victory.

The BTTS signal is clear, as matches involving both teams ended with goals for both sides in 60% of San Antonio Bulo Bulo’s games and as many as 71% of Nacional Potosí’s, compared with the league average of 66%. In their last five fixtures, both teams again recorded 60% of matches with goals for both sides, while San Antonio conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game during this period. The hosts failed to keep a clean sheet in 60% of their matches this season, whereas Nacional Potosí did so in just 14%, significantly increasing the chances of the hosts finding the net. Nacional Potosí have recently averaged 1.6 goals, while San Antonio’s defence allows opponents an average of 2.0 xG, giving the visitors solid grounds to score as well. Although the hosts have the better season-long defensive record, averaging 1.2 goals conceded, the current defensive form of both teams points more strongly towards a BTTS - Yes scenario.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo score an average of 1.8 goals at home, while Nacional Potosí concede 1.43 goals per away match, with the hosts’ average xG standing at 1.53 compared to as much as 1.99 xG allowed by the visitors. Nacional Potosí average 1.14 goals away from home, but have recently improved that figure to 1.6, while San Antonio conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game across their last five matches. The 1.5 line was covered in 80% of the hosts’ matches and 86% of the visitors’ games, which is a notably stronger signal than for higher thresholds. In addition, both teams have scored at least one goal in 100% of their matches this season, making a scenario with no more than one goal highly unlikely. Over 1.5 therefore offers the strongest edge, although the hosts’ high attacking potential also supports a moderately positive assessment of Over 2.5.

The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a San Antonio Bulo Bulo win, as the hosts have been level at the break in 60% of their matches, compared with 43% for Nacional Potosí. The first half should be cautious: San Antonio score an average of 0.60 goals before the interval, while Nacional average just 0.43, and the visitors have kept a clean sheet at half-time in as many as 86% of their matches. After the break, the hosts’ advantage increases significantly, as they score an average of 1.20 goals in the second half, while Nacional concede as many as 1.14. Across the full match, San Antonio win 60% of their games and score an average of 1.80 goals, whereas Nacional lose 57% of their fixtures, average just 0.71 points per match, and allow opponents an xG of 1.99.