San Antonio vs Atlético JBG: match statistics
San Antonio vs Atlético JBG: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
San Antonio played Atlético JBG in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 29 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
San Antonio: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Atlético JBG: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
San Antonio scores 1.17 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Atlético JBG scores 1.33 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: San Antonio 50%, Atlético JBG 67%. Over 2.5: San Antonio 33%, Atlético JBG 33%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
San Antonio has higher xG: 1.29 vs 0.93. San Antonio: 11.5 shots per match, Atlético JBG: 5.7.
Match halves
San Antonio: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83. Atlético JBG: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
San Antonio: 16-30 (2 goals). Atlético JBG: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
San Antonio has a clear offensive edge at home: averaging 3.0 goals per match and xG 2.06 with 17.5 shots and 9 on target, while Atlético JBG averages 1.67 goals away with xG 1.06, 7.67 shots and 3.67 on target. The hosts remain unbeaten at their stadium (0% losses), with a 50% win rate and a +3 goal difference in home matches; the visitors lead the table but record 67% draws and only 33% wins on the road. Atlético looks better in the short term in points and efficiency (average points in the last 5 matches 1.6 vs 0.8 for San Antonio) and scored 6 goals in those five fixtures versus 2 for the hosts. However, the decisive advantage in quality of chances (xG 2.06 vs 1.06) and the higher volume of shots and shots on target for San Antonio suggest the hosts will create more clear opportunities. Therefore I favor a San Antonio win, although I expect an open, high-scoring game (average total goals 4.5 for San Antonio at home vs 3.0 for the visitors), hence the probability split 55%/25%/20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal is that Atlético JBG has BTTS - Yes in 100% of matches this season and 80% in the last 5 — effectively scoring and conceding in every match of the season. San Antonio shows strong defensive form on the season: conceding only 0.33 goals on average and keeping 67% clean sheets, while its BTTS is only 33% (last 5: 40%), which supports a No Goal scenario. Nevertheless, the visitors’ offensive edge is clear — Atlético averages 7.67 shots, 3.67 shots on target and xG 1.06 per match, whereas San Antonio has 3.67 shots, 1.67 on target and xG 0.74; seasonally the visitors score 1.67 and concede 1.33. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Atlético has scored 6 and conceded 5, while San Antonio has scored only 2 and conceded 3, indicating the visitors create chances while also allowing goals. Considering 100% BTTS for the visitors versus 67% clean sheets for the hosts, plus Atlético’s advantage in xG and shots, I rate BTTS - Yes at 65% and No at 35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model gives 1.28 xG for San Antonio (average of 0.74 xG generated by home side and 1.81 xG conceded by Atlético JBG) and 0.87 xG for Atlético JBG (average of 1.06 xG generated by the away side and 0.68 xG conceded by San Antonio), totaling ≈2.15 expected goals. With λ≈2.15 the Poisson distribution yields a probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) of about 64% (P0≈0.12, P1≈0.25), Over 2.5 ≈37% and Over 3.5 ≈18%. Additionally Atlético JBG has 100% of matches this season above 1.5 goals and averages 3.67 shots on target per game versus 1.67 for San Antonio, which increases the visitors’ scoring chance. Counterbalancing this, San Antonio have kept 67% clean sheets at home and concede only 0.33 goals per home game on average, which limits the potential for a high-scoring affair. For these reasons the strongest signal from the data is a bet on Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side: Over) as the most likely and value selection (≈64% chance), while Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 carry lower probabilities (≈37% and ≈18%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data show Atlético JBG create more chances than San Antonio (xG 1.06 vs 0.74, on average 7.67 shots vs 3.67 and 3.67 shots on target vs 1.67), but also concede a lot defensively (xG against 1.81). San Antonio keep a clean sheet at half-time in 100% of home matches and 80% of their last five games were level at the break, which increases the likelihood of a draw at half-time. In the second half the hosts are more effective — San Antonio’s second-half goals per game is 1.33 vs 0.67 for the visitors, and San Antonio have scored 2 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 0 for the visitors in that period. Additionally the hosts have a higher home points-per-game (seasonPPG_home 2.33) and win 67% of home matches compared to 33% of away wins for the visitors, therefore the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a San Antonio turnaround to win the match (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| San Antonio | Atlético JBG | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético JBG is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - San Antonio · 2.2 pts / match - Atlético JBG
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético JBG is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - San Antonio · 1.33 goals / match - Atlético JBG
Atlético JBG is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - San Antonio · 0.83 goals / match - Atlético JBG
San Antonio scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Atlético JBG keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Atlético JBG scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while San Antonio keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - San Antonio
Over / Under - Atlético JBG
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético JBG is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - San Antonio · 1.5 pts / match - Atlético JBG
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Antonio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético JBG - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
San Antonio
Atlético JBG
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| San Antonio | Liga | Atlético JBG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.33 | 2.05 | ▲ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 33% | 34% | • 33% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 68% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of San Antonio vs Atlético JBG?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished San Antonio 1:1 Atlético JBG. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before San Antonio vs Atlético JBG?
San Antonio score 1.17 goals per game on average and Atlético JBG 1.33. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 50% of San Antonio's matches and 67% of Atlético JBG's.
What form are San Antonio and Atlético JBG in?
Over the last 5 games San Antonio have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Atlético JBG 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Antonio vs Atlético JBG?
The statistical background for San Antonio vs Atlético JBG — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.