San Antonio vs Gualaceo SC: match statistics

San Antonio remain unbeaten at home: they have won 33% of their matches, drawn 67%, and suffered no defeats, while Gualaceo SC lose 33% of their away fixtures. The hosts score an average of 1.56 goals per home match, significantly more than the visitors’ 0.56, with Gualaceo failing to score in as many as 56% of their away appearances. San Antonio also register more shots, 11.44 compared with 8.5, and their conversion rate stands at 14%, compared with just 6% for Gualaceo. Both defences concede an average of 0.89 goals, but recent form slightly favours the hosts: they have collected 5 points from their last five matches, while the visitors have managed only 3 and have not won any of those games. The high draw rates of both teams—67% for San Antonio at home and 56% for Gualaceo away—increase the risk of a stalemate, but the hosts’ advantage in chance creation and finishing points towards a 1 result.

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as San Antonio records BTTS in only 20% of matches and Gualaceo SC in 44%, compared with a league average of just 37%. Gualaceo scores an average of only 0.56 goals per match and fails to score in 56% of its games, which significantly increases the likelihood of the visitors being held scoreless. San Antonio keeps a clean sheet in 60% of matches and concedes an average of 0.60 goals at home, meaning its defence is well set up to limit the opposition’s attack. The last five matches for both teams produced an average of 0.60 goals scored per match, with BTTS occurring in only 40% of cases. Additionally, the league average is just 1.87 goals per match, while only 10% of San Antonio’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals, supporting a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

The match is expected to be very tight, as San Antonio concede an average of just 0.60 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 60% of their matches. Gualaceo score only 0.56 goals per away game, while they fail to score in 56% of their matches. The 3.5 line was not covered in 90% of San Antonio’s matches and in all of Gualaceo’s matches, while the league-wide average is just 1.87 goals. Current form also limits the attacking potential: both teams have scored 3 goals in their last five matches, averaging 0.60 per game each. Although the latest xG figures stand at 1.13 for San Antonio and 1.35 for Gualaceo, the projected total of 1.58 goals still clearly supports Under 3.5.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time, as San Antonio have drawn the first half in 44% of their matches, while Gualaceo have done so in as many as 56%. The visitors score just 0.22 goals per match before the break and have failed to score in the first half in 78% of their games, while the hosts concede only 0.22 goals during this period. The match is also expected to remain very tight after the interval: both teams have drawn the second half in 67% of their matches, and their average combined number of goals after half-time is 0.78 and 0.67 respectively. Gualaceo have recorded draws in 56% of their matches overall and have failed to win any of their last five games, which limits the likelihood of an away turnaround. San Antonio are clearly stronger in terms of points per game, averaging 1.70 compared with the opponent’s 0.89, so after a draw at half-time, the X/1 outcome remains a significant alternative; however, the low-scoring potential of both teams favours X/X.