San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights: match statistics
San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
San Antonio played Las Vegas Lights in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 19 July 2026. Venue: Toyota Field. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
San Antonio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Las Vegas Lights: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
San Antonio scores 1.33 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Las Vegas Lights scores 1.50 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: San Antonio 47%, Las Vegas Lights 79%. Over 2.5: San Antonio 40%, Las Vegas Lights 64%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. San Antonio: 11.7 shots per match, Las Vegas Lights: 10.6.
Match halves
San Antonio: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.73. Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
San Antonio: 16-30 (4 goals). Las Vegas Lights: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a home win for San Antonio based on clear home metrics: they sit 4th in the home table and remain unbeaten at home (0% losses) with 57% of matches kept as clean sheets. Defensive edge is evident in goals conceded: San Antonio concedes 0.71 goals per home game versus Las Vegas Lights conceding 2.57 goals per away game. In the last 5 matches San Antonio scored 6 goals, won 3/5 and average 2.0 points per game, while Las Vegas scored 8 goals but lost 3/5 and average 1.2 points per game. San Antonio posts 1.53 average xG at home versus 1.23 xG for Las Vegas away, and averages 13.57 shots with 4.57 on target at home compared to the visitors’ 9.43 shots and 3.14 on target; despite Las Vegas’s higher shot conversion (18% vs 11%), their poor defense and 0% clean sheets away are significant liabilities. Based on these figures I favor San Antonio and recommend a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for BTTS - Yes is Las Vegas Lights: the away side have BTTS in 100% of their matches this season, 0% clean sheets and concede on average 2.57 goals per game. San Antonio have a season BTTS of 57% (last 5: 40%), score 1.29 goals per game on the season (1.2 in last 5) and concede 1.0 seasonally (0.8 in last 5), so the home team can still create goals, albeit less consistently. In the last 5 matches Las Vegas have xG_for 1.7 versus San Antonio xG_against 1.36, while San Antonio have xG_for 1.05 against Las Vegas xG_against 1.25, suggesting the visitors more often generate higher-quality chances. Additionally Las Vegas have a higher shot conversion rate 18% versus 11% for San Antonio, and 86% of the visitors’ matches finish over 2.5 goals (league average 2.8), which increases the likelihood of an exchange of goals. Considering the guests’ 100% BTTS, hosts’ 57% and recent xG (1.7 vs 1.05), I assess the probability of BTTS at 80% for Yes and 20% for No, therefore I tip Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals based on xG are 1.47 for San Antonio (xG for 1.39 vs xG against Las Vegas 1.54) and 1.24 for Las Vegas (xG for 1.23 vs xG against San Antonio 1.25), totaling 2.71 goals. Seasonal metrics show San Antonio matches finished over 1.5 goals in 71% of cases, and Las Vegas matches in 100%; for the 2.5 line the rates are 43% (San Antonio) and 86% (Las Vegas), which strongly favors Over 2.5. In the last 5 games San Antonio scored 6 goals (1.2 per game) and conceded 4 (0.8), while Las Vegas scored 8 (1.6) and conceded 10 (2.0), confirming the visitors’ tendency toward higher-scoring games. Additionally Las Vegas have 0% clean sheets and 100% BTTS on the season; the visitors have a higher shot conversion rate 18% versus 11% for the home side, despite averaging 3.14 shots on target vs 4.0 for the hosts, which increases the likelihood of goals. Although Las Vegas’ season percentage of matches over 3.5 is 71%, the projected total of 2.71 goals is below 3.5, so the 3.5 line is less likely (Over 3.5 ~28%). In summary, the best pick is Over 2.5 — expected 2.71 goals, high Over 2.5 rate for the visitors (86% season, 80% in last 5) and no clean sheets for Las Vegas provide the strongest signal for Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
San Antonio drew at half-time in 71% of their home matches (drawingAtHT_home = 71%), while Las Vegas led at the break in only 14% of their games (leadingAtHTPercentage_away = 14%), so the most likely half-time score is a draw. The hosts average 0.86 goals scored and 0.57 conceded by half-time (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.86, concededAVGHT_home = 0.57), whereas the visitors average 0.57 scored and 1.00 conceded by the break (scoredAVGHT_away = 0.57, concededAVGHT_away = 1.00), confirming an even picture after 45 minutes. In the second half Las Vegas concedes an average of 1.57 goals (conceded_2hg_avg_away = 1.57) and their matches see a post-break goal in 100% of cases (over05_2hg_percentage_away = 100%), so a half-time draw frequently turns into a home turnaround. San Antonio show superior overall figures: 1.57 points per home match versus 0.57 points for Las Vegas away (seasonPPG_home = 1.57 vs seasonPPG_away = 0.57), and the visitors lose 71% of their games (losePercentage_away = 71%), therefore the HT/FT scenario draw at half-time and home win after 90 minutes is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| San Antonio | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
San Antonio is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - San Antonio · 1.4 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Las Vegas Lights is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - San Antonio · 1.5 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
San Antonio is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - San Antonio · 1.79 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
San Antonio scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
Las Vegas Lights scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while San Antonio keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - San Antonio
Over / Under - Las Vegas Lights
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Antonio is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - San Antonio · 1.21 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Antonio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
San Antonio
Las Vegas Lights
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| San Antonio | Liga | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 57% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 51% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): San Antonio 1 - 2 - 1 Las Vegas Lights. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
The USL Championship match finished San Antonio 1:2 Las Vegas Lights. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between San Antonio and Las Vegas Lights?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches San Antonio won 1, Las Vegas Lights won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
San Antonio score 1.33 goals per game on average and Las Vegas Lights 1.50. The USL Championship average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 47% of San Antonio's matches and 79% of Las Vegas Lights's.
What form are San Antonio and Las Vegas Lights in?
Over the last 5 games San Antonio have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Las Vegas Lights 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.