San Antonio vs Monterey Bay: match statistics
San Antonio vs Monterey Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
San Antonio played Monterey Bay in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 5 July 2026. Venue: Toyota Field. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
San Antonio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Monterey Bay: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
San Antonio scores 1.43 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Monterey Bay scores 1.00 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: San Antonio 50%, Monterey Bay 50%. Over 2.5: San Antonio 43%, Monterey Bay 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
San Antonio has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.25. San Antonio: 11.9 shots per match, Monterey Bay: 9.9.
Match halves
San Antonio: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.79. Monterey Bay: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
San Antonio: 16-30 (4 goals). Monterey Bay: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 20%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
San Antonio holds a clear home advantage: they have won 67% of home matches and remain unbeaten at home, averaging 1.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game at their stadium. Monterey Bay have no away wins (0% win rate) and lose 83% of their away matches, conceding 2.33 goals per away game and scoring only 0.67. Chance quality also favors the hosts: San Antonio averages 5.17 shots on target and 14.17 shots overall with an xG of 1.63 at home, while the visitors average 1.83 shots on target, 8.33 shots overall and xG 1.08 on the road — approximately 0.55 lower xG. Over the last 5 matches both teams average 2 points per game, but San Antonio have scored 10 goals versus Monterey’s 8; the hosts also have a lower share of goalless matches (17% vs 33%) and 50% clean sheets at home compared to 0% clean sheets on the road for the visitors. Considering the attacking edge (more shots on target and higher xG), better home defence and clean sheet statistics, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis supports BTTS - Yes: season BTTS rates are 38% for San Antonio and 67% for Monterey Bay, and in the last 5 matches both teams had BTTS at 80% and 60% respectively. San Antonio averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per season (xG 1.38 for, 1.19 against), while Monterey Bay averages 0.67 scored and 2.33 conceded (xG 1.08 for, 1.80 against), indicating both sides create chances and Monterey is prone to conceding. In the last 5 fixtures San Antonio averaged 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded, and Monterey Bay 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded, so recent form more often produces Goal/Goal outcomes. Additionally Monterey Bay has no clean sheets this season (CS 0%), and the league average BTTS is 56%, which reinforces the both-teams-to-score scenario. On this basis I select BTTS 'yes' as the strongest signal and estimate its probability at 64% versus 36% for 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.59 goals for San Antonio and 1.14 for Monterey Bay (total 2.73), based on home xG 1.38 and away defensive xG 1.80, and away xG 1.08 with home defensive xG 1.19. San Antonio scores 1.25 goals at home and concedes 1.00, while Monterey Bay scores only 0.67 away but concedes 2.33; additionally the home edge in shots on target 4.13 vs 1.83 supports a higher xG for San Antonio. The Poisson distribution for a 2.73 total yields ~76% chance of at least 2 goals, ~51% for at least 3 and ~29% for at least 4, therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Seasonal indicators confirm the direction: Over1.5 occurred in 63% of San Antonio’s matches and 83% of Monterey Bay’s, and San Antonio’s last 5 home games had Over2.5 in 80%, which provides additional support for the over, but the 1.5 line offers the clearest value.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
San Antonio are the favorites: they average 1.63 goals per match versus 0.17 for Monterey Bay; the hosts win 50% of matches while the visitors win 0%. At half-time San Antonio led in 38% of matches and were level in 50%, whereas Monterey Bay were trailing at the break in 67% and never led (0%). The hosts score an average of 0.5 goals before the break, the visitors 0.0, and Monterey Bay concede an average of 1.0 goals by half-time; additionally San Antonio have higher xG (1.38 vs 1.08), more shots on target (4.13 vs 1.83) and better conversion (11% vs 8%). In the second half San Antonio average 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded, while Monterey Bay average 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, which favors the hosts in maintaining a lead. On this basis the strongest and most reliable signal is San Antonio to lead at the break and win Full-Time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| San Antonio | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Monterey Bay is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - San Antonio · 2.4 pts / match - Monterey Bay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Antonio is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - San Antonio · 1 goals / match - Monterey Bay
San Antonio is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - San Antonio · 1.57 goals / match - Monterey Bay
San Antonio scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
Monterey Bay scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while San Antonio keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - San Antonio
Over / Under - Monterey Bay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Antonio is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - San Antonio · 1.07 pts / match - Monterey Bay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Antonio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Monterey Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
San Antonio
Monterey Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| San Antonio | Liga | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.64 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): San Antonio 3 - 2 - 0 Monterey Bay. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 20% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?
The USL Championship match finished San Antonio 0:0 Monterey Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between San Antonio and Monterey Bay?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches San Antonio won 3, Monterey Bay won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?
San Antonio score 1.43 goals per game on average and Monterey Bay 1.00. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of San Antonio's matches and 50% of Monterey Bay's.
What form are San Antonio and Monterey Bay in?
Over the last 5 games San Antonio have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Monterey Bay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Antonio vs Monterey Bay?
The statistical background for San Antonio vs Monterey Bay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.