San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps: match statistics
San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
San Diego played Vancouver Whitecaps in MLS (United States). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Snapdragon Stadium. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
San Diego: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Vancouver Whitecaps: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
San Diego scores 2.00 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Vancouver Whitecaps scores 2.31 and concedes 0.77. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: San Diego 57%, Vancouver Whitecaps 46%. Over 2.5: San Diego 71%, Vancouver Whitecaps 54%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Vancouver Whitecaps has higher xG: 1.96 vs 1.40. San Diego: 11.8 shots per match, Vancouver Whitecaps: 17.1.
Match halves
San Diego: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.93. Vancouver Whitecaps: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
San Diego: 0-15 (6 goals). Vancouver Whitecaps: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw (X). San Diego scores an average of 2.63 goals per home match and has 0% of matches without scoring, with an average xG of 1.58 and a high conversion rate of 19%, and they have scored 12 goals in the last 5 games. Vancouver on the road averages 1.8 goals with an xG of 1.84 and 15.4 shots per match, and in the season they have 9 wins compared to 4 for home teams, indicating better overall effectiveness. Defensively the differences are minor: San Diego concedes 1.38 goals per home match, while Vancouver concedes 1.2 goals away, with the visitors having 0% clean sheets on the road, which favors both teams scoring. Both teams have high draw rates (San Diego draws 38% of home matches, Vancouver draws 40% of away matches), so given the similar xG and the differences in finishing, I back a share of points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast a 'BTTS - Yes' scenario as more likely. Vancouver has a season BTTS rate of 80% with 0% clean sheets away, while San Diego has a season BTTS of only 25% and 63% matches without conceding. A key signal is the last 5 matches — both teams have BTTS at 80% there; in those five games San Diego averaged 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded, and Vancouver averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded. xG and shot metrics support the prediction: xG for San Diego is 2.04 versus xG conceded by Vancouver 1.04, and xG for Vancouver is 1.84 versus xG conceded by San Diego 0.91; the home side averages 18.13 shots (7.0 on target) and the visitors 15.4 (5.6 on target). Given the strong 80% BTTS signal for Vancouver and 80% BTTS in the last 5 for both teams, plus xG and shot support, I assess BTTS probability at 70% (Yes) versus 30% (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
San Diego averages 2.63 goals per game (xG 2.04) and records 7.0 shots on target at home, while Vancouver averages 1.8 goals (xG 1.84) and 5.6 shots on target; additionally, San Diego concedes only 0.5 goals at home per season, versus Vancouver’s 1.2. Averaging attack and defense via xG — (xG for San Diego 2.04 + xG against Vancouver 1.04)/2 — yields an expected 1.54 goals for San Diego, and (xG for Vancouver 1.84 + xG against San Diego 0.91)/2 gives 1.38 for Vancouver, totaling 2.92 expected goals. With a combined expected xG=2.92 the probability of at least 2 goals in the match (Over 1.5) is approximately 79%, which aligns with seasonal Over 1.5 rates: 75% for hosts and 80% for away teams, and the league average of 3.26 goals per game. Higher lines are less certain: Over 2.5 is estimated at ~56% probability, while Over 3.5 is ~34%. The fact Vancouver has a season-long Both Teams to Score rate of 80% versus San Diego’s 25% increases goal likelihood but also introduces the risk of a home clean sheet (San Diego home CS 63%). Therefore I recommend staking Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (≈79%), based on xG 2.92 and historical rates of 75–80%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
San Diego has a clear advantage in the first half: they led at the break in 63% of matches and average 1.75 first-half goals, while Vancouver only averages 0.6 at the break. Over 90 minutes the hosts score 2.63 goals on average versus 1.8 for the visitors, with xG of 2.04 for San Diego compared to 1.84 for Vancouver; San Diego concedes only 0.5 goals per game versus 1.2 for the opponent. San Diego have scored 18 first-half goals this season against Vancouver’s 5 and have kept a clean sheet at halftime in 63% of matches, while Vancouver have 0% halftime clean sheets, which increases the likelihood of San Diego maintaining a lead at the break. Although the visitors score more frequently after halftime (1.2 on average vs. 0.88 for the hosts), the high percentage of leads at the break and the overall effectiveness (winPercentage_home 88% vs winPercentage_away 40%) make the 1/1 scenario (San Diego leading at half-time and winning the match) the most probable.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| San Diego | Vancouver Whitecaps | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vancouver Whitecaps is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - San Diego · 1.6 pts / match - Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vancouver Whitecaps is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - San Diego · 2.31 goals / match - Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps is 113% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - San Diego · 0.77 goals / match - Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Vancouver Whitecaps keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).
Vancouver Whitecaps scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while San Diego keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - San Diego
Over / Under - Vancouver Whitecaps
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vancouver Whitecaps is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - San Diego · 1.85 pts / match - Vancouver Whitecaps
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Diego - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vancouver Whitecaps - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
San Diego
Vancouver Whitecaps
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| San Diego | Liga | Vancouver Whitecaps | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.64 | 3.28 | ▼ 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 61% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 63% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 22% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 81% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The MLS match finished San Diego 2:4 Vancouver Whitecaps. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
San Diego score 2.00 goals per game on average and Vancouver Whitecaps 2.31. The MLS average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 57% of San Diego's matches and 46% of Vancouver Whitecaps's.
What form are San Diego and Vancouver Whitecaps in?
Over the last 5 games San Diego have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.