San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes: match statistics
San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
San Lorenzo play Estudiantes in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
San Lorenzo: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Estudiantes: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
San Lorenzo scores 0.94 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Estudiantes scores 1.12 and concedes 0.47. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: San Lorenzo 41%, Estudiantes 24%. Over 2.5: San Lorenzo 24%, Estudiantes 24%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Estudiantes has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.24. San Lorenzo: 10.1 shots per match, Estudiantes: 13.3.
Match halves
San Lorenzo: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.71. Estudiantes: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
San Lorenzo: 76-90+ (6 goals). Estudiantes: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the away win (2): Estudiantes have 6 wins and 14 goals this season versus San Lorenzo’s 3 wins and 11 goals, and their defense is markedly superior (avg 0.4 goals conceded away vs 1.8 conceded by San Lorenzo at home). Although San Lorenzo record higher average xG at home (1.52) and a shot conversion of 13%, translating to 1.6 goals per game, Estudiantes post xG 1.35 on the road and keep a clean sheet in 60% of matches. Form also favors the visitors: Estudiantes average 1.8 points per game over the last 5 with 3 wins, while San Lorenzo average 1.2 points with only 1 win in that span. Considering Estudiantes’ significantly lower average goals conceded and their road stability (Loss% 0 away), I rate the away side higher for victory, although the hosts score regularly at home (FTS 0%), which increases the likelihood of a draw or a tight contest.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| San Lorenzo | Estudiantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estudiantes is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - San Lorenzo · 2 pts / match - Estudiantes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - San Lorenzo · 1.12 goals / match - Estudiantes
Estudiantes is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - San Lorenzo · 0.47 goals / match - Estudiantes
San Lorenzo scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Estudiantes keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
Estudiantes scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — San Lorenzo
Over / Under — Estudiantes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Lorenzo is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - San Lorenzo · 0.88 pts / match - Estudiantes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Lorenzo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Estudiantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| San Lorenzo | Liga | Estudiantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.88 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 45% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 34% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: San Lorenzo 0 - 0 - 1 Estudiantes. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes?
The Primera División match finished San Lorenzo 1:0 Estudiantes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes?
San Lorenzo score 0.94 goals per game on average and Estudiantes 1.12. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 41% of San Lorenzo's matches and 24% of Estudiantes's.
What form are San Lorenzo and Estudiantes in?
Over the last 5 games San Lorenzo have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Estudiantes 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.