San Lorenzo vs Independiente: match statistics
San Lorenzo vs Independiente: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
San Lorenzo play Independiente in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 23:45. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
San Lorenzo: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Independiente: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
San Lorenzo scores 0.94 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Independiente scores 1.47 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: San Lorenzo 41%, Independiente 71%. Over 2.5: San Lorenzo 24%, Independiente 41%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.24. San Lorenzo: 10.1 shots per match, Independiente: 12.7.
Match halves
San Lorenzo: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.71. Independiente: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
San Lorenzo: 76-90+ (6 goals). Independiente: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 100%.
Match description
San Lorenzo has scored 13 and conceded 12 goals this season; at home they average 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per match and keep a clean sheet in 57% of home games, indicating a solid home defence. Independiente have 22 goals this season and 9 in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.0 points per game over those five, but on the road they score only 1.00 goal per match and record just 14% wins and 14% clean sheets away from home. San Lorenzo generate higher xG at home (1.49) and more shots on target per match (4.29) than Independiente do away (xG 1.34 and 3.14 shots on target), which suggests better quality chances for the hosts. In the last five fixtures San Lorenzo have conceded just 1 goal while Independiente have conceded 6, further underlining the hosts’ defensive edge. Considering San Lorenzo’s superior defensive efficiency at home and Independiente’s weaker away form, I predict a home win; probabilities: 50% home, 30% draw, 20% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| San Lorenzo | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - San Lorenzo · 1.4 pts / match - Independiente
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - San Lorenzo · 1.47 goals / match - Independiente
San Lorenzo is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - San Lorenzo · 1.35 goals / match - Independiente
San Lorenzo scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Independiente keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Independiente scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while San Lorenzo keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — San Lorenzo
Over / Under — Independiente
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - San Lorenzo · 1.24 pts / match - Independiente
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Lorenzo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
San Lorenzo
Independiente
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| San Lorenzo | Liga | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.88 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 45% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): San Lorenzo 1 - 1 - 1 Independiente. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of San Lorenzo vs Independiente?
The Primera División match finished San Lorenzo 1:2 Independiente. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between San Lorenzo and Independiente?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 1, Independiente won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before San Lorenzo vs Independiente?
San Lorenzo score 0.94 goals per game on average and Independiente 1.47. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 41% of San Lorenzo's matches and 71% of Independiente's.
What form are San Lorenzo and Independiente in?
Over the last 5 games San Lorenzo have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Independiente 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Lorenzo vs Independiente?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for San Lorenzo vs Independiente: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.