San Miguel vs Estudiantes Caseros: match statistics
San Miguel vs Estudiantes Caseros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
San Miguel play Estudiantes Caseros in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
San Miguel: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Estudiantes Caseros: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
San Miguel scores 0.85 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.86 and concedes 0.76. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: San Miguel 45%, Estudiantes Caseros 29%. Over 2.5: San Miguel 25%, Estudiantes Caseros 24%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
San Miguel has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.10. San Miguel: 10.2 shots per match, Estudiantes Caseros: 8.8.
Match halves
San Miguel: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
San Miguel: 46-60 (4 goals). Estudiantes Caseros: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
San Miguel at home generates a lot of chances — on average 14.17 shots and 4.0 shots on target per match and xG 1.9, but converts that to only 1.17 goals (conversion rate 8%) and in the last 5 matches scored 3 and conceded 7. Estudiantes Caseros arrive in clearly better form: in their last 5 fixtures they have 3 wins and 2 draws, scored 4 and conceded only 1, which yields an average of 2.2 points per match in that period. Defensively the visitors hold the advantage — away they concede 0.83 goals on average, have 50% clean sheets and xG against 0.84, while San Miguel at home concedes 1.0 goal and records xG against 1.35. At the same time the hosts rarely fail to score (17% of matches without a goal versus 50% for the visitors) and register significantly more shots per match (14.17 vs 8.33), which offsets Estudiantes’ form advantage. For these reasons I expect an even, low-scoring game and tip the draw X; I assess probabilities as 30% home, 40% draw and 30% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| San Miguel | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estudiantes Caseros is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - San Miguel · 2.2 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes Caseros is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - San Miguel · 0.76 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros
San Miguel scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
Estudiantes Caseros scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while San Miguel keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — San Miguel
Over / Under — Estudiantes Caseros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Miguel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
San Miguel
Estudiantes Caseros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| San Miguel | Liga | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.90 | 1.89 | ▼ 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 39% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 39% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 56% | • 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of San Miguel vs Estudiantes Caseros?
The Prim B Nacional match finished San Miguel 1:1 Estudiantes Caseros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before San Miguel vs Estudiantes Caseros?
San Miguel score 0.85 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Caseros 0.86. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 45% of San Miguel's matches and 29% of Estudiantes Caseros's.
What form are San Miguel and Estudiantes Caseros in?
Over the last 5 games San Miguel have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Estudiantes Caseros 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Miguel vs Estudiantes Caseros?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.