San Telmo vs San Miguel: match statistics
San Telmo vs San Miguel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
San Telmo played San Miguel in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Dr. Osvaldo Francisco Baletto. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
San Telmo: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. San Miguel: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
San Telmo scores 0.81 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. San Miguel scores 0.81 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: San Telmo 38%, San Miguel 43%. Over 2.5: San Telmo 33%, San Miguel 24%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
San Miguel has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.29. San Telmo: 9.5 shots per match, San Miguel: 10.1.
Match halves
San Telmo: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.38. San Miguel: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
San Telmo: 0-15 (4 goals). San Miguel: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis shows San Telmo creates more chances at home (avg. 12.55 shots per match, 4.27 on target, xG 1.68) than San Miguel away (7.8 shots, 2.5 on target, xG 1.04), yet the hosts convert this into only 1.00 goal per home match with an 8% conversion rate. San Miguel is more efficient in finishing chances (conversion 10%) and has a better recent points run (last 5: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss, PPG 1.2) compared to San Telmo (last 5: 1-1-3, PPG 0.8); additionally the visitors concede 21 goals season-to-date versus 23 for the hosts. Defensively the teams are comparable — San Telmo concedes 1.18 goals at home, San Miguel 1.3 away — which, combined with low average scoring (combined average goals in hosts’ matches ~2.18 and in away matches ~2.1), indicates a low-goal game. Considering San Telmo’s edge in chance creation but San Miguel’s greater ability to salvage draws (70% of away matches drawn) and superior form, I tip the match as a draw; probability distribution estimated as: home 28%, draw 44%, away 28%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators are mixed: San Telmo has BTTS 36% versus San Miguel 50%, and the league average BTTS is 39%, indicating a generally low frequency of both teams scoring this season. However, in the last 5 matches San Telmo has BTTS 60% and concedes an average of 1.4 goals (7 conceded in 5 matches), while San Miguel scored 5 goals in those 5 fixtures, i.e. 1.0 goal per match, which increases the likelihood the visitors will score. Looking at xG and shots, San Telmo generates xG 1.60 and averages 12.27 shots per match (3.0 on target), whereas San Miguel allows opponents xG 1.42; simultaneously San Miguel has xG 1.04 and averages 7.8 shots (2.5 on target) versus xG against San Telmo 1.21 — this suggests both teams create quality chances. The counterargument is San Telmo’s season clean sheet percentage of 45% and the high league clean sheet rate of 78%, which reduce the overall BTTS potential, however the last 5-match balance, xG relationship and shot volumes incline me toward a both teams to score scenario. Therefore I rate BTTS - Yes 62% and No 38%, selecting Yes as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG- and match-data based model yields a total expected goals of 2.64: San Telmo 1.51 xG, San Miguel 1.13 xG. This results from the clash of xG values — San Telmo has an attacking xG of 1.6 versus xG conceded to San Miguel of 1.42 (hence 1.51 for the home side), while San Miguel has attacking xG 1.04 versus xG conceded to San Telmo 1.21 (1.13 for the away side). With total xG = 2.64 the goal distribution indicates ~74% chance of Over 1.5 goals, ~49% for Over 2.5 and ~27% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Additionally San Telmo averages 12.27 shots (3.0 on target) per match versus 7.8 (2.5 on target) for San Miguel; season rates of matches with at least 1 goal are 82% and 80%, and with at least 2 goals 55% and 80%, which supports at least 2 goals in the match. At the same time both teams have low season goal averages (San Telmo 0.82, San Miguel 0.8) and differing finishing rates (shot conversion 7% vs 10%), so I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the best and least risky option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win (X/1): San Telmo are level at the break in 45% of matches and San Miguel in 50%, yielding roughly a 46% chance of an HT draw. After the break the hosts have the edge in chance creation — San Telmo’s xG is 1.60 versus San Miguel’s 1.04, on average 12.27 shots versus 7.8 and 3.0 shots on target versus 2.5 — which increases the likelihood of a goal after the interval. Across the season San Telmo win 36% of fixtures compared to just 10% for San Miguel, while the visitors record 70% draws, so HT stalemates frequently swing in favor of the hosts. Additionally, San Telmo keep a clean sheet at the break in 73% of matches whereas San Miguel concede 1.3 goals per game on average; therefore my model assigns X/1 a 21% probability (alternatives: 1/1 18% and X/X 16%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| San Telmo | San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
San Miguel is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - San Telmo · 1.2 pts / match - San Miguel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Miguel is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - San Telmo · 1 goals / match - San Miguel
San Telmo scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while San Miguel keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
San Miguel scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while San Telmo keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — San Telmo
Over / Under — San Miguel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Miguel is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - San Telmo · 1.19 pts / match - San Miguel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Telmo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
San Miguel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
San Telmo
San Miguel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| San Telmo | Liga | San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.90 | 1.90 | • 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 41% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 38% | • 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 70% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: San Telmo 0 - 1 - 0 San Miguel. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of San Telmo vs San Miguel?
The Prim B Nacional match finished San Telmo 1:0 San Miguel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before San Telmo vs San Miguel?
San Telmo score 0.81 goals per game on average and San Miguel 0.81. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 38% of San Telmo's matches and 43% of San Miguel's.
What form are San Telmo and San Miguel in?
Over the last 5 games San Telmo have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and San Miguel 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Telmo vs San Miguel?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for San Telmo vs San Miguel: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.