Sanat Naft vs Malavan: match statistics

Sanat Naft are showing significantly better current form: they remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while Malavan have lost 2 of their 5 games. The hosts have scored 8 goals during this period—more than twice Malavan’s tally of 3—which points to a clear attacking advantage. Sanat Naft’s defensive record is equally important, with only 2 goals conceded in five matches compared to the visitors’ 3. The hosts’ average of 2.2 points per game across their last five appearances is superior to Malavan’s 1.4, so Sanat Naft should be able to capitalize on this advantage. Malavan’s position in the table—9th compared to the hosts’ 14th—reduces the extent of the favoritism, but the current trend points to a home win.

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as Malavan have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 per game. The visitors also recorded BTTS in only 20% of those appearances, compared with 40% for Sanat Naft, which does not provide a convincing basis for both teams to score. Sanat Naft have defended very effectively, conceding just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, or 0.4 goals per game, so Malavan’s weak attack may struggle to find the net. The hosts have scored 1.6 goals per game, but their strong defensive run and the opposition’s low attacking efficiency provide greater support for a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

The available data from the last five matches points to a very solid defensive performance from Sanat Naft: the team conceded just 2 goals, averaging 0.4 per match. Malavan scored only 3 goals during this period, an average of 0.6 per game, while Sanat Naft conceded fewer goals than their opponent scored. Matches finishing Over 2.5 goals occurred in just 20% of the hosts’ last five outings and in 0% of Malavan’s matches, clearly limiting the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Both teams also scored in 40% of Sanat Naft’s matches and only 20% of Malavan’s, making a result with no more than three goals the most likely outcome.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Sanat Naft were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Malavan. However, the hosts have been clearly more effective over the full 90 minutes, averaging 1.6 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded, while Malavan recorded averages of 0.6 and 0.6, respectively. After half-time, Sanat Naft averaged 0.6 goals scored and conceded none, whereas Malavan scored just 0.2 goals and conceded 0.4. In addition, the hosts won the second half in 60% of this sample, while the visitors failed to win any, making the X/1 scenario the strongest data-backed option.