Japan - J1 LeagueData current as of 15 October 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sanfrecce Hiroshima play Kyoto Sanga in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 17 October 2026.

Current form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Kyoto Sanga: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores 2.44 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Kyoto Sanga scores 1.22 and concedes 1.78. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44%, Kyoto Sanga 78%. Over 2.5: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 56%, Kyoto Sanga 67%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has higher xG: 2.27 vs 1.28. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 19.8 shots per match, Kyoto Sanga: 12.3.

Match halves

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.56. Kyoto Sanga: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 61-75 (5 goals). Kyoto Sanga: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

J1 League: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.36)
(5.52)
(7.50)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
2.44Goals scored / match1.22
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
0.67Goals conceded / match1.78
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
61%Average possession47%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
7.44Shots on target / match4
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

19.78Shots per match12.33
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
7.44Shots on target4
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
12.4%Shot conversion9.9%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
61%Possession47%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
2.27xG for1.28
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
0.91xG against1.7
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga

Shooting quality

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: DominantKyoto Sanga: Balanced
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
Accuracy (shots on target)38%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 200% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 0.8 pts / match - Kyoto Sanga

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
WLWWW
Season result split
67% W22% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-1
2.22 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 at home
3-1-0
WDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.32Opponent xG: 0.78BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Kyoto Sanga
DLLWL
Season result split
22% W22% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-5
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

2.44 goals / match - Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 1.22 goals / match - Kyoto Sanga

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 166% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 1.78 goals / match - Kyoto Sanga

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scoring profile: very strong

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Kyoto Sanga keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).

Kyoto Sanga scoring profile: mixed

Kyoto Sanga scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).

22Goals scored (season)11
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
6Goals conceded (season)16
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
3.11Average goals in match3
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
14Goals scored (last 5)5
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal78%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
67%2 goals44%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
44%3 goals0%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
22%4 goals0%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga

How often they concede at least...

44%1 goal100%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
11%2 goals56%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
11%3 goals22%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
0%4 goals0%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

44%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.4 of 9 matches
59%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time11%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
11%BTTS in both halves0%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
44%Scored in both halves22%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
40%BTTS - last 560%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.78 pts / match - Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 1.11 pts / match - Kyoto Sanga

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - half-time state
44% leading44% draw11% trailing
Kyoto Sanga - half-time state
22% leading44% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.78Points per match (1st half)1.11
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
0.89Goals scored (1st half)0.44
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.11
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
78%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
44%No goal before half-time67%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga

After half-time (2nd half)

2.22Points per match (2nd half)1.33
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
1.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)1.11
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
1.89Average goals (2nd half)1.89
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
67%Clean sheet after half-time22%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
22%No goal after half-time33%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - second-half results

67% W22% D11% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kyoto Sanga - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.60
Goals scored / match0.82.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+8
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Kyoto Sanga - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.4
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
0
31-45
4
2
46-60
5
0
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Kyoto Sanga
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
7
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.05
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.1 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-51%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
155%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Kyoto Sanga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

Sanfrecce HiroshimaLigaKyoto Sanga
Average goals in match▲ 3.112.91• 3.00
Both teams scored▼ 44%59%▲ 78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 56%53%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 56%23%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 56%68%• 67%
Goal after half-time• 89%88%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0 - 1 - 1 Kyoto Sanga. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 : 1
Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC
1 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

FAQ

When do Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga play?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima face Kyoto Sanga on 17 October 2026 in J1 League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 0, Kyoto Sanga won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.44 goals per game on average and Kyoto Sanga 1.22. The J1 League average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Sanfrecce Hiroshima's matches and 78% of Kyoto Sanga's.

What form are Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga in?

Over the last 5 games Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Kyoto Sanga 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.