Santa Clara vs Vitória Guimarães: match statistics
Vitória Guimarães appear to be the favorites for this match despite their poorer away form. Santa Clara are in 16th place in the table and are in very poor form – they haven't won any of their last 5 matches, averaging just 0.4 points per game. The hosts have the worst home record with a 58% loss rate and only 25% wins, making them one of the weakest sides at home. Vitória Guimarães, despite a 64% loss rate away from home, show better overall form (1.4 points in their last 5 matches) and an advantage in offensive statistics – higher xG (1.39 vs 1.29) and more goals scored. A key factor is also that Santa Clara have failed to score in 42% of their home matches, which, combined with the hosts' weak defense (conceding an average of 1.17 goals), gives the visitors a real chance of a favorable result. Considering all the data, I predict a victory for Vitória Guimarães, although the slight statistical advantage and the visitors' poor away form leave room for a draw.
Santa Clara vs Vitória Guimarães: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Santa Clara played Vitória Guimarães in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Santa Clara: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Vitória Guimarães: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Santa Clara scores 0.83 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Vitória Guimarães scores 1.17 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Santa Clara 46%, Vitória Guimarães 46%. Over 2.5: Santa Clara 38%, Vitória Guimarães 46%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Vitória Guimarães has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.30. Santa Clara: 12.5 shots per match, Vitória Guimarães: 13.4.
Match halves
Santa Clara: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.50. Vitória Guimarães: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Santa Clara: 0-15 (7 goals). Vitória Guimarães: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vitória Guimarães appear to be the favorites for this match despite their poorer away form. Santa Clara are in 16th place in the table and are in very poor form – they haven't won any of their last 5 matches, averaging just 0.4 points per game. The hosts have the worst home record with a 58% loss rate and only 25% wins, making them one of the weakest sides at home. Vitória Guimarães, despite a 64% loss rate away from home, show better overall form (1.4 points in their last 5 matches) and an advantage in offensive statistics – higher xG (1.39 vs 1.29) and more goals scored. A key factor is also that Santa Clara have failed to score in 42% of their home matches, which, combined with the hosts' weak defense (conceding an average of 1.17 goals), gives the visitors a real chance of a favorable result. Considering all the data, I predict a victory for Vitória Guimarães, although the slight statistical advantage and the visitors' poor away form leave room for a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Santa Clara | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vitória Guimarães is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Santa Clara · 1.4 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vitória Guimarães is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Santa Clara · 1.17 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães
Santa Clara is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Santa Clara · 1.46 goals / match - Vitória Guimarães
Santa Clara scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
Vitória Guimarães scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Santa Clara keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Santa Clara
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vitória Guimarães is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Santa Clara · 1.13 pts / match - Vitória Guimarães
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Santa Clara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vitória Guimarães - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Santa Clara
Vitória Guimarães
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Santa Clara | Liga | Vitória Guimarães | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | • 46% | 47% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 56% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 30% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Santa Clara 0 - 0 - 1 Vitória Guimarães. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Santa Clara vs Vitória Guimarães?
The Liga NOS match finished Santa Clara 2:0 Vitória Guimarães. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Santa Clara vs Vitória Guimarães?
Santa Clara score 0.83 goals per game on average and Vitória Guimarães 1.17. The Liga NOS average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Santa Clara's matches and 46% of Vitória Guimarães's.
What form are Santa Clara and Vitória Guimarães in?
Over the last 5 games Santa Clara have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Vitória Guimarães 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Santa Clara vs Vitória Guimarães?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.