Santa Fe vs Atlético Nacional: match statistics
The match promises to be very even, which argues for a draw. Santa Fe presents solid home form with 67% draws at home and only one defeat in three home matches. Atlético Nacional has a better overall record (4 wins in 5 matches), but their away statistics are alarming - 100% defeats and 100% matches without scoring a goal on the road. Santa Fe scores an average of 1.67 goals at home with an xG of 1.83, suggesting efficiency, whereas the guests have a positive xG (1.59) away but fail to capitalize on it (0 goals on average). Possession advantage for both teams (56% vs 59%) and close xG indicators point to a tactical balance. Considering Atlético's difficulties with converting chances away and Santa Fe's tendency to draw at home, the most probable result is a split of points.
Santa Fe vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Santa Fe played Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 26 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Santa Fe: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Santa Fe scores 1.13 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Atlético Nacional scores 2.60 and concedes 0.60. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Santa Fe 75%, Atlético Nacional 40%. Over 2.5: Santa Fe 38%, Atlético Nacional 80%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.53. Santa Fe: 14.6 shots per match, Atlético Nacional: 18.6.
Match halves
Santa Fe: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.60.
Goals by minute
Santa Fe: 76-90+ (4 goals). Atlético Nacional: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very even, which argues for a draw. Santa Fe presents solid home form with 67% draws at home and only one defeat in three home matches. Atlético Nacional has a better overall record (4 wins in 5 matches), but their away statistics are alarming - 100% defeats and 100% matches without scoring a goal on the road. Santa Fe scores an average of 1.67 goals at home with an xG of 1.83, suggesting efficiency, whereas the guests have a positive xG (1.59) away but fail to capitalize on it (0 goals on average). Possession advantage for both teams (56% vs 59%) and close xG indicators point to a tactical balance. Considering Atlético's difficulties with converting chances away and Santa Fe's tendency to draw at home, the most probable result is a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Santa Fe | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Santa Fe · 2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 130% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Santa Fe · 2.6 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional is 108% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Santa Fe · 0.6 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Santa Fe scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Atlético Nacional scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Santa Fe keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Santa Fe
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 249% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.63 pts / match - Santa Fe · 2.2 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Santa Fe - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Santa Fe
Atlético Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Santa Fe | Liga | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.57 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 60% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Santa Fe 1 - 2 - 1 Atlético Nacional. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Santa Fe vs Atlético Nacional?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Santa Fe 1:2 Atlético Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Santa Fe and Atlético Nacional?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 1, Atlético Nacional won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Santa Fe vs Atlético Nacional?
Santa Fe score 1.13 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 2.60. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Santa Fe's matches and 40% of Atlético Nacional's.
What form are Santa Fe and Atlético Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Santa Fe have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Santa Fe vs Atlético Nacional?
The statistical background for Santa Fe vs Atlético Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.