Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima: match statistics
Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Santa Fe played Deportes Tolima in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Santa Fe: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Deportes Tolima: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Santa Fe scores 1.53 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Deportes Tolima scores 1.43 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Santa Fe 73%, Deportes Tolima 53%. Over 2.5: Santa Fe 50%, Deportes Tolima 43%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Deportes Tolima has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.40. Santa Fe: 13.1 shots per match, Deportes Tolima: 13.5.
Match halves
Santa Fe: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.93. Deportes Tolima: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Santa Fe: 76-90+ (12 goals). Deportes Tolima: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 1.80, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Santa Fe have significantly stronger home numbers: they average 1.94 goals per match, while Deportes Tolima score 1.15 away from home. The hosts also create more chances, registering 13.94 shots and 5.31 shots on target per game, compared with 11.08 and 3.92 for the visitors. Santa Fe’s advantage is also evident in chance quality, with an average xG of 1.49 versus Tolima’s 1.21, while opponents more frequently fail to score away from home, doing so in 31% of such matches. Tolima defend relatively solidly, but they lose 31% of their away fixtures and have a zero goal difference, whereas Santa Fe boast a +14 home goal difference. Santa Fe’s last five matches have produced as many as 4 draws, so despite the case for backing the hosts, the significant risk of a share of the points must also be taken into account.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The baseline signal is slightly pro-BTTS, as both teams record this scenario in 53% and 54% of matches respectively, exactly in line with the league average of 54%. Their form across the last five matches strengthens the case for BTTS - Yes: Santa Fe had BTTS in 80% of those games, while Tolima did so in 60%, with each team conceding an average of 1.2 goals. Santa Fe creates more chances at home, averaging 1.66 xG and 5.59 shots on target, while Tolima has posted 1.63 xG across its last five appearances. The main risk to BTTS is the hosts' solid defense: they concede just 0.82 goals per match this season and keep a clean sheet in 35% of games, while Tolima have failed to score in 31% of matches. Despite this, Santa Fe's recent vulnerability to opponents' chances, reflected in 1.96 xG against over the last five matches, slightly tilts the forecast toward both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Santa Fe score an average of 1.65 goals at home and create chances worth 1.66 xG, while Tolima concede just 1.15 goals per away match. The visitors average 1.15 goals scored, whereas Santa Fe’s home defence allows only 0.82 goals, limiting their projected output to around 0.93 goals. Over the full season, matches involving the two teams finished under 3.5 goals in 76% and 77% of cases, respectively, while games with at least four goals accounted for only 24% and 23%. Even in a slightly more open recent run, during which Tolima had 60% of matches go Over 2.5 goals, both teams conceded 6 goals across five appearances and neither showed consistently high-scoring form. The combined expected total of 2.38 goals points to a game finishing with two or three goals, making Under 3.5 the strongest data-backed selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Santa Fe victory, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 80% of their last five matches. Santa Fe are particularly solid defensively before the break, conceding an average of just 0.29 goals and keeping a clean sheet at half-time in 82% of matches, while Tolima score 0.77 goals during this phase. After the break, the home side’s advantage increases significantly: Santa Fe score an average of 1.06 goals, compared with just 0.38 for Tolima, who have a negative goal difference in second halves. Across the season, the hosts win 65% of their matches and earn 2.12 points per game, compared with Tolima’s 31% win rate and 1.31 points per game, further supporting the HT/FT turnaround scenario in which Santa Fe overcome the draw late on.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Santa Fe | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportes Tolima is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Santa Fe · 2 pts / match - Deportes Tolima
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Santa Fe is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Santa Fe · 1.43 goals / match - Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Santa Fe · 0.97 goals / match - Deportes Tolima
Santa Fe scores in 87% of matches (26 of 30 matches), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Deportes Tolima scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Santa Fe keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Santa Fe
Over / Under - Deportes Tolima
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Tolima is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Santa Fe · 1.63 pts / match - Deportes Tolima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Santa Fe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Santa Fe
Deportes Tolima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Santa Fe | Liga | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Santa Fe 1 - 2 - 2 Deportes Tolima. Average goals 1.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Santa Fe 1:0 Deportes Tolima. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Santa Fe and Deportes Tolima?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 1, Deportes Tolima won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?
Santa Fe score 1.53 goals per game on average and Deportes Tolima 1.43. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Santa Fe's matches and 53% of Deportes Tolima's.
What form are Santa Fe and Deportes Tolima in?
Over the last 5 games Santa Fe have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Deportes Tolima 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?
The statistical background for Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.