Santo Domingo vs Cumbayá: match statistics
Santo Domingo vs Cumbayá: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Santo Domingo played Cumbayá in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 23 May 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Santo Domingo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cumbayá: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Santo Domingo scores 1.00 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Cumbayá scores 1.20 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Santo Domingo 33%, Cumbayá 70%. Over 2.5: Santo Domingo 44%, Cumbayá 60%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Cumbayá has higher xG: 1.01 vs 0.96. Santo Domingo: 5.0 shots per match, Cumbayá: 6.1.
Match halves
Santo Domingo: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44. Cumbayá: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Santo Domingo: 0-15 (2 goals). Cumbayá: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 2.06 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Santo Domingo holds a clear home advantage: 75% home win rate and 0% defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match, with a home goal difference of +6. Cumbayá is weaker on the road — only 25% wins and as much as 75% losses away, scoring 1.25 goals, conceding 1.25 and keeping just 25% clean sheets. In terms of chance quality xG is balanced (Santo Domingo xG for 1.07 vs Cumbayá xG for 1.10), but the hosts convert their chances much better (28% vs 16%) and are reliable at home (FTS 0%). The last 5 matches show a similar points record (both teams with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses and 1.4 points per match), however the home statistics advantage — on average 4.67 shots on target and 50% of matches with a clean sheet — favours Santo Domingo. Therefore I forecast a home win: 65% Santo Domingo, 20% draw and 15% Cumbayá win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast BTTS - Yes with a 65% probability because Santo Domingo has a seasonal BTTS rate of 83% versus Cumbayá’s 50%, a strong historical indicator that both teams score in home matches. The xG interaction is clear: projected home xG ≈1.31 ((0.94 + 1.67)/2) and away ≈0.95 ((1.10 + 0.80)/2)), so both teams have realistic expected goals near or above 0.9. Cumbayá averages 4.67 shots on target vs. Santo Domingo’s 2.2, has a seasonal goals average of 1.25 vs. the home side’s 1.17, and Santo Domingo concedes 1.5 goals seasonally — all supporting both teams finding the net. A conflicting signal is the last 5 matches, where BTTS is only 40% for both teams and the hosts concede on average 0.8 goals in that period (less than the seasonal 1.5), which reduces confidence, but seasonal and xG signals remain stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model projects 1.31 goals for Santo Domingo (attacking xG 0.94 vs Cumbayá xG_conceded 1.67) and 0.95 goals for Cumbayá (attacking xG 1.10 vs Santo Domingo xG_conceded 0.80), i.e. ~2.26 total goals. With λ=2.26 the Poisson distribution yields roughly a 66% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) and about 40% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5). Seasonal data reinforce this signal: Santo Domingo have Over 1.5 in 100% of matches, Cumbayá in 75% (average 88%), while Over 2.5 occurred in 50% and 75% of their season matches respectively (average 62.5%); in the last 5 matches for both teams Over 2.5 is 60%. Combining xG, Poisson distribution and seasonal/last-5 data, I give strong support to Over 1.5 (88%), moderate support to Over 2.5 (63%) and low support to Over 3.5 (9%), therefore I recommend backing Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Santo Domingo led at the break in 50% of home matches and averaged 0.83 goals scored before halftime while conceding only 0.17, giving them a clear first-half advantage. However, over full time the hosts record as many as 67% draws and only 17% wins, and 83% of their home games see both teams on the scoresheet, so they frequently concede after the break. Cumbayá has an offensive xG of 1.10 and averages 4.67 shots on target, while their defense concedes an average of 1.67 xG, giving the visitors a realistic chance to equalize after halftime. Santo Domingo concedes the most goals after the 60th minute (3 in the 61–75 interval and 4 in 76–90), so the strongest signal is the hosts leading at halftime and the match finishing level after 90 minutes (1/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Santo Domingo | Cumbayá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 58% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.52 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cumbayá is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Santo Domingo · 1.2 goals / match - Cumbayá
Santo Domingo is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Santo Domingo · 1.4 goals / match - Cumbayá
Santo Domingo scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Cumbayá keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
Cumbayá scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Santo Domingo keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Santo Domingo
Over / Under - Cumbayá
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cumbayá is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Santo Domingo · 1.8 pts / match - Cumbayá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Santo Domingo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cumbayá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Santo Domingo
Cumbayá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Santo Domingo | Liga | Cumbayá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.89 | 2.06 | ▲ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 36% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 31% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 61% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 66% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Santo Domingo vs Cumbayá?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished Santo Domingo 0:0 Cumbayá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Santo Domingo vs Cumbayá?
Santo Domingo score 1.00 goals per game on average and Cumbayá 1.20. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Santo Domingo's matches and 70% of Cumbayá's.
What form are Santo Domingo and Cumbayá in?
Over the last 5 games Santo Domingo have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cumbayá 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Santo Domingo vs Cumbayá?
The statistical background for Santo Domingo vs Cumbayá — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.