Brazil - Serie BEstádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo BrancoData current as of 13 August 2026

São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP: match statistics

Reasoning:

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São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

São Bernardo play Botafogo SP in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 14 August 2026. Venue: Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco.

Current form

São Bernardo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Botafogo SP: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

São Bernardo scores 1.48 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Botafogo SP scores 1.24 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.29 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: São Bernardo 62%, Botafogo SP 52%. Over 2.5: São Bernardo 52%, Botafogo SP 43%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 41%.

xG, shots and style

Botafogo SP has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.33. São Bernardo: 12.4 shots per match, Botafogo SP: 12.2.

Match halves

São Bernardo: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.90. Botafogo SP: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

São Bernardo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Botafogo SP: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 41%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.22)
(3.05)
(3.20)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

São BernardoBotafogo SP
1.48Goals scored / match1.24
São BernardoBotafogo SP
1.14Goals conceded / match1.05
São BernardoBotafogo SP
50%Average possession47%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
4.67Shots on target / match3.9
São BernardoBotafogo SP

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.43Shots per match12.24
São BernardoBotafogo SP
4.67Shots on target3.9
São BernardoBotafogo SP
11.9%Shot conversion10.1%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
50%Possession47%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
1.33xG for1.36
São BernardoBotafogo SP
1.58xG against1.34
São BernardoBotafogo SP

Shooting quality

São Bernardo: BalancedBotafogo SP: Balanced
São BernardoBotafogo SP
Accuracy (shots on target)38%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Botafogo SP is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - São Bernardo · 1.6 pts / match - Botafogo SP

São Bernardo
DDLLW
Season result split
38% W29% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-7
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-5-4
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Botafogo SP
DDWLW
Season result split
33% W29% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-8
1.29 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

São Bernardo is 19% better for: goals scored per match.

1.48 goals / match - São Bernardo · 1.24 goals / match - Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - São Bernardo · 1.05 goals / match - Botafogo SP

São Bernardo scoring profile: very strong

São Bernardo scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Botafogo SP keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).

Botafogo SP scoring profile: strong

Botafogo SP scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while São Bernardo keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).

31Goals scored (season)26
São BernardoBotafogo SP
24Goals conceded (season)22
São BernardoBotafogo SP
2.62Average goals in match2.29
São BernardoBotafogo SP
10Goals scored (last 5)9
São BernardoBotafogo SP
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
São BernardoBotafogo SP

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal62%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
38%2 goals33%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
29%3 goals19%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
0%4 goals10%
São BernardoBotafogo SP

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal81%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
29%2 goals19%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
5%3 goals5%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
5%4 goals0%
São BernardoBotafogo SP

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time10%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
5%BTTS in both halves0%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
24%Scored in both halves24%
São BernardoBotafogo SP

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
100%BTTS - last 560%
São BernardoBotafogo SP

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
São BernardoBotafogo SP

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
São BernardoBotafogo SP

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Botafogo SP is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / match - São Bernardo · 1.38 pts / match - Botafogo SP

São Bernardo - half-time state
24% leading52% draw24% trailing
Botafogo SP - half-time state
29% leading52% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.38
São BernardoBotafogo SP
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.57
São BernardoBotafogo SP
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
São BernardoBotafogo SP
1.1Average goals (1st half)0.86
São BernardoBotafogo SP
52%Clean sheet before half-time71%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
52%No goal before half-time62%
São BernardoBotafogo SP

After half-time (2nd half)

1.57Points per match (2nd half)1.24
São BernardoBotafogo SP
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
São BernardoBotafogo SP
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
São BernardoBotafogo SP
1.52Average goals (2nd half)1.43
São BernardoBotafogo SP
52%Clean sheet after half-time43%
São BernardoBotafogo SP
43%No goal after half-time52%
São BernardoBotafogo SP

São Bernardo - second-half results

43% W29% R29% P
26
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding158%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Botafogo SP - second-half results

29% W38% R33% P
29
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

São Bernardo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.80
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.82.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Botafogo SP - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.01.4
Average goals in match0.82.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

São Bernardo
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
6
5
16-30
2
1
31-45
7
2
46-60
2
6
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Botafogo SP
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
7
2
31-45
6
8
46-60
3
5
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

São Bernardo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Botafogo SP

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

São BernardoLigaBotafogo SP
Average goals in match 2.622.29 2.29
Both teams scored 62%48% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%41% 43%
Clean sheets 24%31% 19%
Goal before half-time 71%66% 57%
Goal after half-time 81%74% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.29
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: São Bernardo 1 - 0 - 0 Botafogo SP. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do São Bernardo and Botafogo SP play?

São Bernardo face Botafogo SP on 14 August 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP?

São Bernardo score 1.48 goals per game on average and Botafogo SP 1.24. The Serie B average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 62% of São Bernardo's matches and 52% of Botafogo SP's.

What form are São Bernardo and Botafogo SP in?

Over the last 5 games São Bernardo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Botafogo SP 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.