São Bernardo vs Novorizontino: match statistics
São Bernardo vs Novorizontino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
São Bernardo play Novorizontino in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 31 May 2026 at 16:00. Venue: Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
São Bernardo: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Novorizontino: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
São Bernardo scores 1.33 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Novorizontino scores 1.47 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: São Bernardo 56%, Novorizontino 47%. Over 2.5: São Bernardo 44%, Novorizontino 53%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Novorizontino has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.22. São Bernardo: 11.4 shots per match, Novorizontino: 14.7.
Match halves
São Bernardo: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83. Novorizontino: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
São Bernardo: 76-90+ (7 goals). Novorizontino: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
São Bernardo has a clear advantage: at home they sit 1st, in the last 5 matches their record is 'wwwdw' (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 9 and conceding 2 with an average of 2.6 points per game in that period. The hosts average 14 shots and 4.4 on target per match with xG 1.41, while Novorizontino away average 10.8 shots, 3.8 on target and a lower xG 1.16, indicating São Bernardo creates more chances. The visitors' conversion rate is nominally higher (11% vs 9%), but Novorizontino have as many as 60% of away matches without a goal versus 20% for the hosts, which significantly reduces their realistic chance of scoring. Defensively both teams concede on average 0.8 goals per match, however in the last 5 games São Bernardo conceded 2 goals vs 5 for Novorizontino, and the hosts have higher possession (48% vs 44%). Considering the superior xG (1.41 vs 1.16), the advantage in shot volume and the much lower risk of failing to score (20% vs 60%), I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| São Bernardo | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Novorizontino is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - São Bernardo · 1.2 pts / match - Novorizontino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novorizontino is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - São Bernardo · 1.47 goals / match - Novorizontino
São Bernardo scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Novorizontino scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while São Bernardo keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — São Bernardo
Over / Under — Novorizontino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novorizontino is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - São Bernardo · 1.16 pts / match - Novorizontino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
São Bernardo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Novorizontino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| São Bernardo | Liga | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.28 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 48% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 42% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 31% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
The Serie B match finished São Bernardo 1:1 Novorizontino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
São Bernardo score 1.33 goals per game on average and Novorizontino 1.47. The Serie B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 56% of São Bernardo's matches and 47% of Novorizontino's.
What form are São Bernardo and Novorizontino in?
Over the last 5 games São Bernardo have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Novorizontino 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.