São João Ver vs Amarante: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a very balanced encounter between São João Ver and Amarante. The hosts display solid home form with a 50% draw rate and a goal difference of 0 in home matches, evidencing defensive stability. Amarante shows better overall form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.0 PPG); however, their weaker away results (43% loss rate, 57% of matches without scoring) and lower average possession (41%) may hinder them from taking all three points. Close xG values for both teams (1.01 vs 1.05) and similar shot conversion rates (10% in both cases) suggest tactical equilibrium. Considering the hosts' high propensity for drawing at home and the visitors' slight advantage in recent form, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
São João Ver vs Amarante: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
São João Ver played Amarante in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
São João Ver: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Amarante: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
São João Ver scores 0.71 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Amarante scores 1.14 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: São João Ver 43%, Amarante 36%. Over 2.5: São João Ver 36%, Amarante 43%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Amarante has higher xG: 1.13 vs 1.04. São João Ver: 7.3 shots per match, Amarante: 8.9.
Match halves
São João Ver: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.50. Amarante: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
São João Ver: 46-60 (3 goals). Amarante: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.13 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a very balanced encounter between São João Ver and Amarante. The hosts display solid home form with a 50% draw rate and a goal difference of 0 in home matches, evidencing defensive stability. Amarante shows better overall form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.0 PPG); however, their weaker away results (43% loss rate, 57% of matches without scoring) and lower average possession (41%) may hinder them from taking all three points. Close xG values for both teams (1.01 vs 1.05) and similar shot conversion rates (10% in both cases) suggest tactical equilibrium. Considering the hosts' high propensity for drawing at home and the visitors' slight advantage in recent form, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| São João Ver | Amarante | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Amarante is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - São João Ver · 2 pts / match - Amarante
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Amarante is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - São João Ver · 1.14 goals / match - Amarante
Amarante is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - São João Ver · 1.14 goals / match - Amarante
São João Ver scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while Amarante keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
Amarante scores in 57% of matches (8 of 14 matches), while São João Ver keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - São João Ver
Over / Under - Amarante
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Amarante is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - São João Ver · 1 pts / match - Amarante
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
São João Ver - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Amarante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
São João Ver
Amarante
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| São João Ver | Liga | Amarante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.07 | 2.13 | ▲ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 34% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 34% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: São João Ver 0 - 1 - 0 Amarante. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of São João Ver vs Amarante?
The Liga 3 match finished São João Ver 0:1 Amarante. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before São João Ver vs Amarante?
São João Ver score 0.71 goals per game on average and Amarante 1.14. The Liga 3 average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 43% of São João Ver's matches and 36% of Amarante's.
What form are São João Ver and Amarante in?
Over the last 5 games São João Ver have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Amarante 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São João Ver vs Amarante?
The statistical background for São João Ver vs Amarante — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.