São Paulo vs Atlético PR: match statistics
São Paulo vs Atlético PR: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
São Paulo play Atlético PR in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 23 July 2026 at 02:30. Venue: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
São Paulo: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Atlético PR: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
São Paulo scores 1.28 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Atlético PR scores 1.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: São Paulo 56%, Atlético PR 50%. Over 2.5: São Paulo 39%, Atlético PR 44%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético PR has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.35. São Paulo: 11.8 shots per match, Atlético PR: 12.3.
Match halves
São Paulo: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.89. Atlético PR: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
São Paulo: 61-75 (6 goals). Atlético PR: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I predict a home win (1): São Paulo average 1.75 goals scored and concede only 0.75 per home match, while Atlético PR average 0.88 scored and concede 1.5 away. São Paulo generate higher quality chances — home xG 1.49 versus away xG 1.24 for Atlético, and the hosts average 13.63 shots (4.13 on target) with a 13% conversion compared to Atlético’s 10.63 shots (4.0 on target) and 8% conversion. The gap in attacking efficiency and defense is clear: São Paulo’s home goal difference is +8 with 38% clean sheets, while Atlético away have -5 and just 13% clean sheets. Additionally São Paulo fail to score in only 13% of home matches, whereas the visitors are goalless in 38% of away games, increasing the likelihood of Atlético being shut out. Although Atlético have 1.6 points per game in the last 5 matches versus São Paulo’s 1.0 (guests 4 goals, hosts 5 goals), xG, shot metrics and goal-difference statistics favor a São Paulo triumph.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| São Paulo | Atlético PR | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético PR is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - São Paulo · 1.6 pts / match - Atlético PR
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético PR is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - São Paulo · 1 goals / match - Atlético PR
São Paulo scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Atlético PR scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — São Paulo
Over / Under — Atlético PR
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
São Paulo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
São Paulo
Atlético PR
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| São Paulo | Liga | Atlético PR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 23% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of São Paulo vs Atlético PR?
The Serie A match finished São Paulo 1:2 Atlético PR. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before São Paulo vs Atlético PR?
São Paulo score 1.28 goals per game on average and Atlético PR 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of São Paulo's matches and 50% of Atlético PR's.
What form are São Paulo and Atlético PR in?
Over the last 5 games São Paulo have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Atlético PR 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Paulo vs Atlético PR?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.