São Paulo vs Palmeiras: match statistics
São Paulo showcases impressive home form with a 100% record (3 wins in 3 matches), averaging 2 goals scored and just 0.33 conceded per game. The hosts also stand out with defensive solidity, boasting 67% clean sheets at home and a positive xG balance (1.63 vs 1.0). Palmeiras, despite leading the table and having better overall form (2.4 PPG), shows clear issues in away matches – only 33% wins, 0% clean sheets, and an average of 1.67 goals conceded per game. Palmeiras' recent away fixtures (draw-win-loss) confirm their instability, while São Paulo consistently wins at home. Considering the hosts' advantage at their own stadium and Palmeiras' weaker away performance, I predict a São Paulo victory, although the high quality of the visitors means a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
São Paulo vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
São Paulo played Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
São Paulo: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Palmeiras: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
São Paulo scores 1.43 and concedes 0.57 goals per match. Palmeiras scores 2.29 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: São Paulo 43%, Palmeiras 86%. Over 2.5: São Paulo 29%, Palmeiras 86%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Palmeiras has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.24. São Paulo: 11.3 shots per match, Palmeiras: 13.3.
Match halves
São Paulo: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.29. Palmeiras: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
São Paulo: 46-60 (5 goals). Palmeiras: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
São Paulo showcases impressive home form with a 100% record (3 wins in 3 matches), averaging 2 goals scored and just 0.33 conceded per game. The hosts also stand out with defensive solidity, boasting 67% clean sheets at home and a positive xG balance (1.63 vs 1.0). Palmeiras, despite leading the table and having better overall form (2.4 PPG), shows clear issues in away matches – only 33% wins, 0% clean sheets, and an average of 1.67 goals conceded per game. Palmeiras' recent away fixtures (draw-win-loss) confirm their instability, while São Paulo consistently wins at home. Considering the hosts' advantage at their own stadium and Palmeiras' weaker away performance, I predict a São Paulo victory, although the high quality of the visitors means a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| São Paulo | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - São Paulo · 2.29 goals / match - Palmeiras
São Paulo is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.57 goals / match - São Paulo · 1.14 goals / match - Palmeiras
São Paulo scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Palmeiras scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - São Paulo
Over / Under - Palmeiras
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 143% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - São Paulo · 2.43 pts / match - Palmeiras
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
São Paulo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
São Paulo
Palmeiras
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| São Paulo | Liga | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.68 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 59% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 47% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): São Paulo 0 - 0 - 2 Palmeiras. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of São Paulo vs Palmeiras?
The Serie A match finished São Paulo 0:1 Palmeiras. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between São Paulo and Palmeiras?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 0, Palmeiras won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before São Paulo vs Palmeiras?
São Paulo score 1.43 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 2.29. The Serie A average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 43% of São Paulo's matches and 86% of Palmeiras's.
What form are São Paulo and Palmeiras in?
Over the last 5 games São Paulo have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Palmeiras 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Paulo vs Palmeiras?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.