Brazil - Serie AEstádio Cícero Pompeu de ToledoData current as of 17 October 2026

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics

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São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

São Paulo play Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo.

Current form

São Paulo: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Vasco da Gama: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

São Paulo scores 1.17 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Vasco da Gama scores 1.24 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: São Paulo 57%, Vasco da Gama 62%. Over 2.5: São Paulo 40%, Vasco da Gama 59%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.50. São Paulo: 13.6 shots per match, Vasco da Gama: 17.9.

Match halves

São Paulo: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.90.

Goals by minute

São Paulo: 61-75 (10 goals). Vasco da Gama: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.22)
(3.45)
(3.32)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

São PauloVasco da Gama
1.17Goals scored / match1.24
São PauloVasco da Gama
1.17Goals conceded / match1.45
São PauloVasco da Gama
54%Average possession54%
São PauloVasco da Gama
4.2Shots on target / match5.45
São PauloVasco da Gama

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.63Shots per match17.9
São PauloVasco da Gama
4.2Shots on target5.45
São PauloVasco da Gama
8.6%Shot conversion6.9%
São PauloVasco da Gama
54%Possession54%
São PauloVasco da Gama
1.5xG for1.9
São PauloVasco da Gama
1.3xG against1.27
São PauloVasco da Gama

Shooting quality

São Paulo: BalancedVasco da Gama: Attacking
São PauloVasco da Gama
Accuracy (shots on target)31%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Vasco da Gama is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - São Paulo · 2 pts / match - Vasco da Gama

São Paulo
LWLLW
Season result split
37% W20% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-13
1.30 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-3-3
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Vasco da Gama
LWWWD
Season result split
31% W28% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-8-12
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-5-7
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.16Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vasco da Gama is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

1.17 goals / match - São Paulo · 1.24 goals / match - Vasco da Gama

São Paulo is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - São Paulo · 1.45 goals / match - Vasco da Gama

São Paulo scoring profile: very strong

São Paulo scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).

Vasco da Gama scoring profile: very strong

Vasco da Gama scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

35Goals scored (season)36
São PauloVasco da Gama
35Goals conceded (season)42
São PauloVasco da Gama
2.33Average goals in match2.69
São PauloVasco da Gama
4Goals scored (last 5)9
São PauloVasco da Gama
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
São PauloVasco da Gama

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal69%
São PauloVasco da Gama
33%2 goals34%
São PauloVasco da Gama
3%3 goals14%
São PauloVasco da Gama
3%4 goals3%
São PauloVasco da Gama

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal86%
São PauloVasco da Gama
33%2 goals34%
São PauloVasco da Gama
3%3 goals17%
São PauloVasco da Gama
0%4 goals7%
São PauloVasco da Gama

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
São PauloVasco da Gama
3%BTTS in both halves0%
São PauloVasco da Gama
17%Scored in both halves10%
São PauloVasco da Gama

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
São PauloVasco da Gama
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
São PauloVasco da Gama
40%BTTS - last 540%
São PauloVasco da Gama

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
São PauloVasco da Gama
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
São PauloVasco da Gama
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
São PauloVasco da Gama

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
São PauloVasco da Gama
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
São PauloVasco da Gama
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
São PauloVasco da Gama

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

São Paulo is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / match - São Paulo · 1 pts / match - Vasco da Gama

São Paulo - half-time state
33% leading37% draw30% trailing
Vasco da Gama - half-time state
21% leading38% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1
São PauloVasco da Gama
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.34
São PauloVasco da Gama
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
São PauloVasco da Gama
0.93Average goals (1st half)0.9
São PauloVasco da Gama
60%Clean sheet before half-time48%
São PauloVasco da Gama
57%No goal before half-time72%
São PauloVasco da Gama

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.28
São PauloVasco da Gama
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
São PauloVasco da Gama
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
São PauloVasco da Gama
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.79
São PauloVasco da Gama
43%Clean sheet after half-time41%
São PauloVasco da Gama
50%No goal after half-time48%
São PauloVasco da Gama

São Paulo - second-half results

40% W13% D47% L
41
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vasco da Gama - second-half results

31% W34% D34% L
29
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

São Paulo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.40.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Vasco da Gama - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

São Paulo
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
5
4
16-30
5
8
31-45
5
12
46-60
10
3
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Vasco da Gama
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
4
5
16-30
5
7
31-45
8
8
46-60
6
8
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

São Paulo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Vasco da Gama

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.84
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.66
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.79
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

São PauloLigaVasco da Gama
Average goals in match▼ 2.332.67• 2.69
Both teams scored▼ 57%60%▲ 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%52%▲ 59%
Clean sheets▼ 20%23%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▼ 73%75%▼ 69%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%79%▼ 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): São Paulo 1 - 0 - 2 Vasco da Gama. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Vasco da Gama
2 : 1
São Paulo
CR Vasco da Gama
0 : 2
São Paulo FC
São Paulo FC
1 : 3
CR Vasco da Gama

FAQ

When do São Paulo and Vasco da Gama play?

São Paulo face Vasco da Gama on 18 October 2026 in Serie A at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between São Paulo and Vasco da Gama?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1, Vasco da Gama won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?

São Paulo score 1.17 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.24. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of São Paulo's matches and 62% of Vasco da Gama's.

What form are São Paulo and Vasco da Gama in?

Over the last 5 games São Paulo have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?

The statistical background for São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.