Sarıyer vs Bandırmaspor: match statistics

Sarıyer have a clearly stronger home profile: they win 67% of their matches, score an average of 1.67 goals, and have yet to be held scoreless. Bandırmaspor remain unbeaten away from home, but both of their matches ended in draws, while the team scores just 0.50 goals per game and failed to find the net in 50% of their away fixtures. The hosts create more chances, averaging 11.33 shots and 5 on target, compared with 7.5 shots and 2.5 on target for the visitors, while their xG stands at 1.41 versus 0.93 for Bandırmaspor. The visitors’ defence is solid, conceding an average of 0.50 goals away from home, so a draw remains a realistic outcome; however, Sarıyer hold the edge in attacking quality and home advantage. Recent form also slightly favours the hosts: they collected 7 points from their last five matches, compared with 6 for Bandırmaspor.

Sarıyer’s seasonal BTTS rate is just 25%, while Bandırmaspor’s stands at 50%, in line with the league average of 50%, providing a slight indication of a scenario in which one side fails to score. The visitors average only 0.5 goals per match, generate 0.93 xG and record 2.5 shots on target, while the hosts keep a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. Sarıyer are clearly more dangerous offensively, averaging 2.5 goals, 1.82 xG and 7.75 shots on target, so the most likely scenario is that the hosts provide the goals. The visitors’ last five matches improve their overall profile, as they have averaged 1.6 goals and 1.59 xG per game, but they have also conceded just 0.6 goals on average, which still supports a No BTTS outcome. The “No” pick primarily indicates the probability that Bandırmaspor will fail to convert their limited chances, rather than necessarily pointing to a goalless draw.

Sarıyer create significantly more chances at home, averaging 1.82 xG and 7.75 shots on target per match, while Bandırmaspor manage only 0.93 xG and 2.5 shots on target away from home. However, the visitors are very solid defensively, conceding an average of 0.5 goals, while in their last 5 matches they have allowed opponents just 0.6 goals per game. All of Bandırmaspor’s away matches finished under 2.5 goals, and under 3.5 goals was also recorded in 100% of those games. Sarıyer went over the 3.5-goal line in only 25% of matches, while their last 5 fixtures produced an average of 2.6 goals. The projected total of 2.26 goals points to a moderate goal tally, making Under 3.5 goals the safest option.

A draw at half-time followed by a Sarıyer win is the most likely outcome, as the hosts have failed to score before the break in each of their last five matches, but have averaged 1.2 goals after half-time. Bandırmaspor have drawn 60% of their last five games, while scoring just 0.2 goals per match in the second half and failing to win any of those periods. Broader home data continues to strongly support Sarıyer: the hosts average 2.5 goals per match, with an xG of 1.82, whereas the visitors average 0.5 goals and an xG of 0.93 away from home. Sarıyer’s advantage in chance creation is also reflected in an average of 7.75 shots on target compared with Bandırmaspor’s 2.5, so after a balanced start, Sarıyer are more likely to find the decisive breakthrough after the break. The recommended HT/FT outcome is X/1.