Sarıyer vs Pendikspor: match statistics

Sarıyer are showing clearly better recent form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2 points per game, while Pendikspor managed just 1 win over the same period and averaged 1 point. The hosts are more effective at creating chances at home, averaging 13 shots, including 6 on target, with an xG of 1.54 compared with Pendikspor’s 1.38 away from home. Sarıyer’s key advantage lies in their defensive solidity: they concede just 1 goal per home match and keep a clean sheet in 50% of games, whereas the visitors allow their opponents to score an average of 3 goals. Pendikspor can score 2 goals per away match and have a 16% conversion rate, but they have conceded as many as 11 goals in their last five appearances. With home advantage, superior possession figures of 56% to 50%, and a more stable defense, a Sarıyer win is the more likely outcome.

Seasonal data strongly supports goals at both ends: Sarıyer and Pendikspor have a BTTS rate of 100%, and neither side has kept a clean sheet yet. The hosts score an average of 2.0 goals and create chances worth 2.18 xG, while Pendikspor also averages 2.0 goals per match with 1.38 xG. The visitors’ defence looks particularly vulnerable to conceding, allowing an average of 3.0 goals and conceding as many as 11 goals in their last five matches. Caution is warranted due to Sarıyer’s defensive improvement: they have conceded only 0.6 goals per match across their last five games, while their BTTS rate during this period has dropped to 40%. Nevertheless, Pendikspor has recorded BTTS in 80% of its last five league matches and concedes an average of 2.2 goals, making the both-teams-to-score scenario more likely.

Sarıyer have averaged 1.2 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded over their last five matches, clearly reducing Pendikspor’s goal-scoring potential. However, the visitors are defensively vulnerable, having conceded 11 goals over the same period—2.2 per game—while scoring 1.4. The chance-quality metrics point to a more moderate scenario: the average xG from the last five matches is 1.30 for Sarıyer and 1.35 for Pendikspor, which does not suggest the need for a very high-scoring game. Both teams have recorded Over 2.5 goals in all of their matches so far this season, but this is a very small sample, while only 20% of Sarıyer’s last five matches went above that line. Therefore, the strongest option is Under 3.5 goals, as even with the home side holding the advantage, the weaker current finishing form of both teams favors a result in the 2-3 goal range.

A draw at half-time followed by a Sarıyer win is the most likely outcome, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Pendikspor. During this run, Sarıyer have conceded just 0.2 goals per match before the break and kept a clean sheet in the first half in 80% of their games, limiting the visitors’ chances of building an early lead. After the interval, the hosts average 1.0 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded, while Pendikspor concede as many as 1.4 goals per match in the second half and have lost the second half in 60% of their recent matches. Sarıyer’s advantage is also supported by their higher season xG, 2.18 compared with 1.38, as well as their superior average number of shots on target: 7.0 versus 4.5 for their opponents. Although both teams possess attacking potential, the hosts’ stronger current form—60% wins in their last five matches compared with 20% for Pendikspor—favours a turnaround after the break.