Sarajevo vs Velež: match statistics
Sarajevo display dominant home form with a 67% win rate in home matches and an impressive goal difference of +15. The hosts have not lost a single match at their own ground this season, keeping a clean sheet in 67% of their fixtures. Despite Velež's recent good form (4 wins in 5 matches), they struggle away from home, losing 46% of their away games and failing to score in 46% of cases. The xG statistics also favor Sarajevo (1.55 vs 1.12), indicating a higher quality of chances created. Although Velež are in good shape, Sarajevo's home advantage should be decisive in this encounter.
Sarajevo vs Velež: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sarajevo played Velež in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sarajevo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Velež: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sarajevo scores 1.36 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Velež scores 0.92 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sarajevo 36%, Velež 36%. Over 2.5: Sarajevo 44%, Velež 32%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Sarajevo has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.33. Sarajevo: 11.2 shots per match, Velež: 10.1.
Match halves
Sarajevo: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.68. Velež: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Sarajevo: 46-60 (7 goals). Velež: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sarajevo display dominant home form with a 67% win rate in home matches and an impressive goal difference of +15. The hosts have not lost a single match at their own ground this season, keeping a clean sheet in 67% of their fixtures. Despite Velež's recent good form (4 wins in 5 matches), they struggle away from home, losing 46% of their away games and failing to score in 46% of cases. The xG statistics also favor Sarajevo (1.55 vs 1.12), indicating a higher quality of chances created. Although Velež are in good shape, Sarajevo's home advantage should be decisive in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sarajevo | Velež | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Velež is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sarajevo · 1.8 pts / match - Velež
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sarajevo is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Sarajevo · 0.92 goals / match - Velež
Velež is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Sarajevo · 0.88 goals / match - Velež
Sarajevo scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
Velež scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Sarajevo keeps a clean sheet in 48% (12 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sarajevo
Over / Under - Velež
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarajevo is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Sarajevo · 1.04 pts / match - Velež
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarajevo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Velež - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sarajevo
Velež
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Sarajevo | Liga | Velež | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.48 | 2.12 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | • 36% | 37% | • 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 36% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 37% | • 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 56% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sarajevo 1 - 1 - 0 Velež. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sarajevo vs Velež?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Sarajevo 1:0 Velež. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sarajevo and Velež?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sarajevo won 1, Velež won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarajevo vs Velež?
Sarajevo score 1.36 goals per game on average and Velež 0.92. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Sarajevo's matches and 36% of Velež's.
What form are Sarajevo and Velež in?
Over the last 5 games Sarajevo have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Velež 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarajevo vs Velež?
The statistical background for Sarajevo vs Velež — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.