Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi: match statistics
Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sarasota Paradise play Corpus Christi in USL League One (United States). The match date is 23 April 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Corpus Christi: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Corpus Christi scores 1.18 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sarasota Paradise 50%, Corpus Christi 65%. Over 2.5: Sarasota Paradise 50%, Corpus Christi 65%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Sarasota Paradise has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.28. Sarasota Paradise: 12.2 shots per match, Corpus Christi: 10.5.
Match halves
Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67. Corpus Christi: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). Corpus Christi: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win: Sarasota Paradise (16th) face Corpus Christi (17th). Both sides have 4 goals this season, but home metrics favor Sarasota. Sarasota concedes 1.25 goals per home match versus Corpus’s 2.25 away, with average xG against 1.15 vs 1.83, indicating greater defensive vulnerability for the visitors. In attack the hosts produce 1.59 xG at home and average 15.5 shots per game with 4 on target, while the visitors register 1.26 xG away and 11 shots with 3 on target; although the visitors’ conversion rate is 9% vs the hosts’ 6%, Sarasota’s superiority in chance creation is decisive. In the last 5 matches Sarasota scored 4 and conceded 8, averaging 0.8 points per game (form: d w l l), while Corpus scored 6 and conceded 10, averaging 1.0 point per game (form: w d d l l) — showing the visitors marginally pick up more points but concede just as often. Considering better home defense, higher xG and greater chance volume for the hosts, and Corpus’s lack of away wins (0), I give the higher probability to a Sarasota victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sarasota Paradise | Corpus Christi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Corpus Christi is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.6 pts / match - Corpus Christi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Corpus Christi is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.18 goals / match - Corpus Christi
Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Corpus Christi keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Corpus Christi scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sarasota Paradise
Over / Under — Corpus Christi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarasota Paradise is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise · 0.82 pts / match - Corpus Christi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Corpus Christi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sarasota Paradise
Corpus Christi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Sarasota Paradise | Liga | Corpus Christi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sarasota Paradise 0 - 0 - 1 Corpus Christi. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?
The USL League One match finished Sarasota Paradise 2:1 Corpus Christi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?
Sarasota Paradise score 0.94 goals per game on average and Corpus Christi 1.18. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Sarasota Paradise's matches and 65% of Corpus Christi's.
What form are Sarasota Paradise and Corpus Christi in?
Over the last 5 games Sarasota Paradise have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Corpus Christi 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi?
The statistical background for Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.