United States - USL League OneData current as of 23 July 2026

Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha: match statistics

Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sarasota Paradise play Union Omaha in USL League One (United States). The match date is 14 June 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Union Omaha: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Union Omaha scores 1.61 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sarasota Paradise 50%, Union Omaha 61%. Over 2.5: Sarasota Paradise 50%, Union Omaha 61%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Union Omaha has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.43. Sarasota Paradise: 12.2 shots per match, Union Omaha: 15.8.

Match halves

Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67. Union Omaha: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.11.

Goals by minute

Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). Union Omaha: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Match description

Union Omaha is the favorite in this matchup: they sit 1st in the table and have scored 22 goals this season versus Sarasota’s 14. In the last 5 matches Union has netted 10 goals and won 4 of 5, while Sarasota scored 7 and won 3 of 5, indicating better form from the visitors. The visitors control the game more often — 56% possession on the road versus 49% for the hosts — and display higher finishing efficiency (11% shot conversion vs 9% for Sarasota), despite the hosts taking slightly more shots per game (13.88 vs 12.67) and averaging 4.75 shots on target. Defensively Sarasota have conceded 24 goals this season and average 1.5 goals conceded per home game, whereas Union have conceded 14 and average 1.33 on the road; combined with the superior recent results (average 2.4 points per game for Union vs 1.8 for Sarasota over the last 5), this gives the visitors a decisive edge.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
12Shots17
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
7Shots on target5
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
1.57xG1.96
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
3Corners7
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
45Dangerous attacks74
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
11Fouls11
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
3Cards2
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
0.94Goals scored / match1.61
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
1.56Goals conceded / match1.17
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
49%Average possession58%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
4.06Shots on target / match5.67
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.22Shots per match15.83
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
4.06Shots on target5.67
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
7.7%Shot conversion10.2%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
49%Possession58%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
1.43xG for1.88
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
1.32xG against1.37
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha

Shooting quality

Sarasota Paradise: BalancedUnion Omaha: Dominant
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
Accuracy (shots on target)33%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Union Omaha is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.4 pts / match - Union Omaha

Sarasota Paradise
LWLDD
Season result split
28% W17% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-10
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-4
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Union Omaha
LLWDW
Season result split
61% W11% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-2-5
1.94 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-5
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Union Omaha is 71% better for: goals scored per match.

0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.61 goals / match - Union Omaha

Union Omaha is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.17 goals / match - Union Omaha

Sarasota Paradise scoring profile: very strong

Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Union Omaha keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).

Union Omaha scoring profile: very strong

Union Omaha scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

17Goals scored (season)29
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
28Goals conceded (season)21
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
2.5Average goals in match2.78
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
4Goals scored (last 5)7
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal78%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
28%2 goals67%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
0%3 goals17%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
0%4 goals0%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal83%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
50%2 goals33%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
22%3 goals0%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
11%4 goals0%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Sarasota Paradise - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 18 matches
55%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time28%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
0%BTTS in both halves11%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
11%Scored in both halves28%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS61%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
40%BTTS - last 560%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

44%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time61%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Union Omaha is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise · 1.11 pts / match - Union Omaha

Sarasota Paradise - half-time state
11% leading61% draw28% trailing
Union Omaha - half-time state
17% leading61% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per match (1st half)1.11
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
0.28Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
0.83Average goals (1st half)1.06
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
67%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
72%No goal before half-time61%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.72
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.11
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.72
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
33%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
50%No goal after half-time33%
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha

Sarasota Paradise - second-half results

22% W33% R44% P
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding255%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Union Omaha - second-half results

50% W22% R28% P
20
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding359%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sarasota Paradise - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Union Omaha - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sarasota Paradise
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
4
31-45
5
5
46-60
5
6
61-75
2
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Union Omaha
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
6
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
4
4
46-60
4
3
61-75
12
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sarasota Paradise

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Union Omaha

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).

Teams vs league

Sarasota ParadiseLigaUnion Omaha
Average goals in match 2.502.85 2.78
Both teams scored 50%55% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%59% 61%
Clean sheets 28%26% 17%
Goal before half-time 44%73% 61%
Goal after half-time 83%80% 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.12
Away goals / match
+54%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+30%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?

The USL League One match finished Sarasota Paradise 2:0 Union Omaha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?

Sarasota Paradise score 0.94 goals per game on average and Union Omaha 1.61. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Sarasota Paradise's matches and 61% of Union Omaha's.

What form are Sarasota Paradise and Union Omaha in?

Over the last 5 games Sarasota Paradise have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Union Omaha 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?

The statistical background for Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.