Sarmiento vs River Plate: match statistics
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Sarmiento vs River Plate: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sarmiento play River Plate in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 14 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Eva Perón de Junín.
Current form
Sarmiento: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. River Plate: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sarmiento scores 1.22 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. River Plate scores 1.39 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sarmiento 52%, River Plate 39%. Over 2.5: Sarmiento 52%, River Plate 39%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
River Plate has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.25. Sarmiento: 10.6 shots per match, River Plate: 16.6.
Match halves
Sarmiento: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.59. River Plate: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Sarmiento: 76-90+ (9 goals). River Plate: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 1.75, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sarmiento | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
River Plate is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sarmiento · 2.4 pts / match - River Plate
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
River Plate is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Sarmiento · 1.39 goals / match - River Plate
River Plate is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Sarmiento · 0.94 goals / match - River Plate
Sarmiento scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while River Plate keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 matches).
River Plate scores in 71% of matches (22 of 31 matches), while Sarmiento keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sarmiento
Over / Under - River Plate
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarmiento is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Sarmiento · 1.52 pts / match - River Plate
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarmiento - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
River Plate - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sarmiento
River Plate
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Sarmiento | Liga | River Plate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.59 | 2.16 | ▲ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 38% | • 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 33% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 61% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Sarmiento 1 - 2 - 1 River Plate. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Sarmiento and River Plate play?
Sarmiento face River Plate on 14 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Eva Perón de Junín. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sarmiento and River Plate?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 1, River Plate won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarmiento vs River Plate?
Sarmiento score 1.22 goals per game on average and River Plate 1.39. The Primera División average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Sarmiento's matches and 39% of River Plate's.
What form are Sarmiento and River Plate in?
Over the last 5 games Sarmiento have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and River Plate 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarmiento vs River Plate?
The statistical background for Sarmiento vs River Plate — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.