Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam: match statistics
Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sarpsborg 08 played HamKam in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 26 July 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sarpsborg 08: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. HamKam: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sarpsborg 08 scores 1.08 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. HamKam scores 1.67 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sarpsborg 08 54%, HamKam 75%. Over 2.5: Sarpsborg 08 46%, HamKam 75%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Sarpsborg 08 has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.33. Sarpsborg 08: 12.0 shots per match, HamKam: 11.3.
Match halves
Sarpsborg 08: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.15. HamKam: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
Sarpsborg 08: 31-45+ (6 goals). HamKam: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sarpsborg 08 has a clear home advantage: they win 50% of home matches and have a +2 goal difference at home, and over the last 5 fixtures they average 2 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Defensively the home side performs better in reality — they concede an average of 0.83 goals per home game with xG against of 1.54, while HamKam concedes 2.2 goals on the road with xG against of 1.57. In attack the xG is similar: Sarpsborg produces 1.46 xG at home versus 1.38 xG for HamKam away, but the visitors have a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%) and 20 goals in the season compared to the home side's 14. The key factor, however, is HamKam's poor away form — they have no away wins (0% wins), 60% draws and 40% losses on the road and average 1 point in their last 5 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). Considering Sarpsborg's superior form (2 pts vs 1 pt), better home defensive record and HamKam's lack of away victories, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS is that HamKam records BTTS in 83% of matches versus 57% for Sarpsborg and a 55% league average, strongly favoring both teams to score. HamKam’s defense is vulnerable — they concede 2.33 goals per game for the season and 2.2 in the last 5 (11 goals conceded), while Sarpsborg concedes 1.57 seasonally and 1.0 in the last 5 (5 goals conceded), so the visitors are a strong candidate to concede. In attack the hosts average 1.86 goals per game with xG 1.30, 4.71 shots on target and 17% conversion, and HamKam has 1.17 goals and xG 1.19 with 3.50 shots on target and 11% conversion — both sides have realistic goal potential. Additionally HamKam have no away clean sheets (0% clean sheets away), home matches finish over 2.5 goals in 71% of cases, the visitors in 83%, and in 56–67% of events Over 2.5 is combined with BTTS, which favors goals on both sides. Considering HamKam’s 83% BTTS, the high goals-conceded rate (2.33/2.2) and lack of away clean sheets, I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 78%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model (average xG against the opponent's defense) yields expected xG of 1.43 for Sarpsborg and 1.60 for HamKam, totaling 3.03 expected goals. Seasonal rates show Sarpsborg home matches finish over 1.5 goals in 86% of cases, and HamKam away matches in 100%, so I assign a 94% probability to Over 1.5. For the 2.5 line Sarpsborg has 71% of matches over 2.5, HamKam 80%, and our xG=3.03 sits clearly above 2.5, hence I rate Over 2.5 at 72%. The 3.5 line is less certain: seasonal over3.5 are 43% (home) and 60% (away), and a Poisson with λ=3.03 gives ~36% chance of 4+ goals, therefore the estimate for Over 3.5 is 44%. The strongest signal to back is Over 1.5 (selection: over 1.5) due to combined xG=3.03, seasonal 86%/100% for >1.5 and a high BTTS rate (HamKam 100%, Sarpsborg 57%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (53%) — Sarpsborg led at the break in 4 of 7 home matches (57%) and averages 0.86 goals before half-time, while HamKam has only 0.17 goals at half-time. The hosts win 71% of home matches and score an average of 1.86 goals per game, whereas HamKam has no away wins (0%) and concedes 2.33 goals on average, which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead. The hosts’ xG is 1.30 versus 1.19 for the visitors; shots on target 4.71 vs 3.5 and conversion 17% vs 11% indicate greater Sarpsborg efficiency in front of goal. HamKam practically never led at the break away from home (leading at the break 0%) and were behind at half-time in 67% of away trips, so turnaround scenarios (2/1) are rated very low (1%). Additionally, HTPoints 13 for the hosts versus 2 for the visitors and form L5 ‘lwwwd’ vs ‘wddll’ confirm that the strongest signal is Sarpsborg leading at half-time and winning Full-Time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sarpsborg 08 | HamKam | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sarpsborg 08 is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 1 pts / match - HamKam
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HamKam is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 1.67 goals / match - HamKam
Sarpsborg 08 is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 1.83 goals / match - HamKam
Sarpsborg 08 scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while HamKam keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
HamKam scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while Sarpsborg 08 keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sarpsborg 08
Over / Under - HamKam
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarpsborg 08 is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 1.25 pts / match - HamKam
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarpsborg 08 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
HamKam - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sarpsborg 08
HamKam
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Sarpsborg 08 | Liga | HamKam | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 2.95 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 55% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 82% | • 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Sarpsborg 08 3 - 0 - 1 HamKam. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam?
The Eliteserien match finished Sarpsborg 08 1:0 HamKam. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sarpsborg 08 and HamKam?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg 08 won 3, HamKam won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam?
Sarpsborg 08 score 1.08 goals per game on average and HamKam 1.67. The Eliteserien average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Sarpsborg 08's matches and 75% of HamKam's.
What form are Sarpsborg 08 and HamKam in?
Over the last 5 games Sarpsborg 08 have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and HamKam 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam?
The statistical background for Sarpsborg 08 vs HamKam — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.