Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sarpsborg 08 played Molde in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Sarpsborg 08: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Molde: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sarpsborg 08 scores 1.62 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Molde scores 1.59 and concedes 1.41. League average: 3.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sarpsborg 08 66%, Molde 48%. Over 2.5: Sarpsborg 08 69%, Molde 62%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Sarpsborg 08 has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.56. Sarpsborg 08: 14.4 shots per match, Molde: 13.6.

Match halves

Sarpsborg 08: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.00. Molde: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.86.

Goals by minute

Sarpsborg 08: 76-90+ (18 goals). Molde: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eliteserien: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

22Possession (%)78
Sarpsborg 08Molde
8Shots26
Sarpsborg 08Molde
4Shots on target9
Sarpsborg 08Molde
1.01xG3.06
Sarpsborg 08Molde
4Corners11
Sarpsborg 08Molde
31Dangerous attacks110
Sarpsborg 08Molde
5Fouls11
Sarpsborg 08Molde
0Cards1
Sarpsborg 08Molde

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.62Goals scored / match1.59
Sarpsborg 08Molde
1.72Goals conceded / match1.41
Sarpsborg 08Molde
49%Average possession55%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
5.14Shots on target / match4.48
Sarpsborg 08Molde

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.45Shots per match13.59
Sarpsborg 08Molde
5.14Shots on target4.48
Sarpsborg 08Molde
11.2%Shot conversion11.7%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
49%Possession55%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
1.66xG for1.56
Sarpsborg 08Molde
1.7xG against1.4
Sarpsborg 08Molde

Shooting quality

Sarpsborg 08: AttackingMolde: Balanced
Sarpsborg 08Molde
Accuracy (shots on target)36%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Molde is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 1.8 pts / match - Molde

Sarpsborg 08
LWLLW
Season result split
34% W28% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-11
1.31 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-6
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Molde
LLWWW
Season result split
41% W10% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-3-14
1.34 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-8
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Molde is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.72 goals / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 1.41 goals / match - Molde

Sarpsborg 08 scoring profile: very strong

Sarpsborg 08 scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Molde keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).

Molde scoring profile: very strong

Molde scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Sarpsborg 08 keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).

47Goals scored (season)46
Sarpsborg 08Molde
50Goals conceded (season)41
Sarpsborg 08Molde
3.34Average goals in match3
Sarpsborg 08Molde
7Goals scored (last 5)12
Sarpsborg 08Molde
12Goals conceded (last 5)9
Sarpsborg 08Molde

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal72%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
59%2 goals48%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
24%3 goals24%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
3%4 goals14%
Sarpsborg 08Molde

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal69%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
45%2 goals45%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
28%3 goals21%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
14%4 goals7%
Sarpsborg 08Molde

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time24%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
7%BTTS in both halves3%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
38%Scored in both halves28%
Sarpsborg 08Molde

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
40%BTTS - last 560%
Sarpsborg 08Molde

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time24%
Sarpsborg 08Molde

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Sarpsborg 08Molde

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Molde is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 1.31 pts / match - Molde

Sarpsborg 08 - half-time state
28% leading34% draw38% trailing
Molde - half-time state
34% leading28% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.31
Sarpsborg 08Molde
0.62Goals scored (1st half)0.72
Sarpsborg 08Molde
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
Sarpsborg 08Molde
1.41Average goals (1st half)1.52
Sarpsborg 08Molde
48%Clean sheet before half-time48%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
48%No goal before half-time52%
Sarpsborg 08Molde

After half-time (2nd half)

1.34Points per match (2nd half)1.45
Sarpsborg 08Molde
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
Sarpsborg 08Molde
0.93Goals conceded (2nd half)0.62
Sarpsborg 08Molde
1.93Average goals (2nd half)1.48
Sarpsborg 08Molde
41%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Sarpsborg 08Molde
38%No goal after half-time48%
Sarpsborg 08Molde

Sarpsborg 08 - second-half results

34% W31% R34% P
34
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Molde - second-half results

38% W31% R31% P
38
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sarpsborg 08 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Molde - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match2.02.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sarpsborg 08
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
8
6
16-30
4
10
31-45
6
8
46-60
5
7
61-75
18
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Molde
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
7
5
16-30
8
11
31-45
7
5
46-60
7
4
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sarpsborg 08

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Molde

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).

Teams vs league

Sarpsborg 08LigaMolde
Average goals in match 3.343.16 3.00
Both teams scored 66%57% 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 69%62% 62%
Clean sheets 17%24% 31%
Goal before half-time 79%76% 76%
Goal after half-time 86%83% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.16
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Sarpsborg 08GoalFrederik CarstensenAssist: Sondre Sørli
  2. MoldeSubstitutionOn: Isak Helstad AmundsenOff: Birk Risa
  3. Sarpsborg 08SubstitutionOn: Anders TrondsenOff: Jo Inge Berget
  4. MoldeYellow cardEmil Breivik

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Rohit SaggiMatches officiated: 15
3.67Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 267%Home wins20%Draws13%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Sarpsborg 08 2 - 1 - 0 Molde. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Molde FK
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Molde
Molde
2 : 4
Sarpsborg 08

FAQ

What was the result of Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde?

The Eliteserien match finished Sarpsborg 08 1:0 Molde. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sarpsborg 08 and Molde?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg 08 won 2, Molde won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde?

Sarpsborg 08 score 1.62 goals per game on average and Molde 1.59. The Eliteserien average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Sarpsborg 08's matches and 48% of Molde's.

What form are Sarpsborg 08 and Molde in?

Over the last 5 games Sarpsborg 08 have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Molde 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.