Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking: match statistics
Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sarpsborg 08 played Viking in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 12 July 2026. Venue: Sarpsborg Stadion. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sarpsborg 08: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Viking: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sarpsborg 08 scores 1.18 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Viking scores 2.90 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sarpsborg 08 64%, Viking 60%. Over 2.5: Sarpsborg 08 55%, Viking 80%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Viking has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.39. Sarpsborg 08: 11.6 shots per match, Viking: 15.4.
Match halves
Sarpsborg 08: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.18. Viking: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 1.30.
Goals by minute
Sarpsborg 08: 31-45+ (6 goals). Viking: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is Viking: the visitors have a road record of 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss (win% 80) and 5 wins in their last 5 matches, scoring a total of 15 goals (3.0 per match). Sarpsborg at home are 4–2–5, average 1.2 goals scored per match and have recorded no clean sheets at home (CS% 0%), and conceded 10 goals in their last 5 games (2.0 per match), indicating defensive issues. Viking create better offensive chances – average away xG 1.68 versus the home side’s xG 1.38, more shots (14.8 vs 11.8) and higher possession (56% vs 44%), translating into higher attacking quality. Additionally, the visitors concede on average 0.8 goals away, have 40% clean sheets and have not had an away match without scoring (FTS 0%), while Sarpsborg at home concede 1.0 goal per match and have 20% of games without scoring (FTS 20%). Based on this I predict a Viking win; estimated probabilities are 65% for the visitors, 20% for a draw and 15% for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 60% (Sarpsborg 60%, Viking 60%) versus 56% for the league, which broadly favors a both-teams-to-score scenario. In the last 5 matches Sarpsborg has BTTS 80% and averages 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded (8 for, 10 against), while Viking has BTTS 60% and in L5 scored 15 and conceded 5 (avg 3.0 scored, 1.0 conceded), increasing the likelihood of the visitors scoring. xG confirms the offensive nature of both sides: Sarpsborg generates 1.88 xG, Viking 1.68 xG, and their xG against is 1.14 and 1.10 respectively, so both teams allow roughly >1.1 xG to opponents. Sarpsborg averages 7.2 shots on target from 16.0 attempts with a 26% conversion, Viking 4.4 on target from 14.8 attempts with an 11% conversion, and both teams have only 40% of matches with a clean sheet expected, which supports goal exchanges. Considering the 60% season BTTS for both, 80% L5 for the home side, Viking’s strong form (5 wins and 15 goals in 5 matches) and xG >1.6 for both, I assess BTTS - Yes at 70% versus 30% for No as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model yields expected goals: home ~1.49 xG (home attack 1.88 xG and opponent defense 1.10 xG), away ~1.41 xG (away attack 1.68 xG and home defense 1.14 xG), total ~2.90. This season Sarpsborg has 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals, and Viking 80%, which is a strong signal for Over 1.5; similarly Over 2.5 occurred in 100% of home matches and 60% of Viking’s matches, so Over 2.5 is also likely. Sarpsborg averages 7.2 shots on target per match versus Viking’s 4.4 and has a high conversion rate of 26% (vs 11% for Viking), suggesting the home xG is likely to convert into actual goals. In the last 5 matches Viking scored 15 goals (3.0 average), Sarpsborg 8 goals (1.6 average), and the league average is 2.94 goals per match — our 2.90 is therefore consistent with both teams’ form. For these reasons I recommend wagering on Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (I estimate Over 1.5 at ~95%), Over 2.5 has a lower but still significant probability (~80%), while Under 3.5 is more likely than Over 3.5 (68% vs 32%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sarpsborg is the favorite based on the data: the home side’s seasonal average goals scored is 4.2 versus 1.6 for Viking and xG is 1.88 versus 1.68, with 7.2 shots on target vs 4.4 and a conversion rate of 26% vs 11%. At half-time the home team averages 2.2 goals compared to 1.0 for the away side and lead at the break in 80% of matches (scoredAVGHT_home 2.2 vs scoredAVGHT_away 1.0; leadingAtHTPercentage_home 80%), so I expect Sarpsborg to be leading after 45 minutes. In the second half the hosts also dominate: Sarpsborg’s average goals in the 2nd half is 2.0 versus 0.6 for Viking and they win second halves in 80% of cases (scored_2hg_avg_home 2.0 vs scored_2hg_avg_away 0.6; wins_2hg_percentage_home 80%), which increases the likelihood of maintaining the victory. Although Viking have a run of 5 wins (form_l5_away = 'wwwww' and last5_winPercentage_overall_away 100%), their lower efficiency (11% vs 26%) and fewer shots on target limit their chances of a turnaround; therefore I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (48%) and recommend this HT/FT pick as the best.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sarpsborg 08 | Viking | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Viking is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 3 pts / match - Viking
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Viking is 146% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 2.9 goals / match - Viking
Viking is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 1 goals / match - Viking
Sarpsborg 08 scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Viking keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
Viking scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Sarpsborg 08 keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sarpsborg 08
Over / Under - Viking
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Viking is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Sarpsborg 08 · 2.4 pts / match - Viking
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarpsborg 08 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Viking - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 90%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sarpsborg 08
Viking
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Sarpsborg 08 | Liga | Viking | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.64 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 56% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 24% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Sarpsborg 08 0 - 2 - 2 Viking. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking?
The Eliteserien match finished Sarpsborg 08 1:0 Viking. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sarpsborg 08 and Viking?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg 08 won 0, Viking won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking?
Sarpsborg 08 score 1.18 goals per game on average and Viking 2.90. The Eliteserien average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Sarpsborg 08's matches and 60% of Viking's.
What form are Sarpsborg 08 and Viking in?
Over the last 5 games Sarpsborg 08 have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Viking 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.