Sassari Torres vs Atalanta II: match statistics

Sassari Torres are favorites: they have won 3 of their 4 home matches and have not lost any, while Atalanta II have suffered 2 defeats in 3 away fixtures. The hosts are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws; the visitors have won 3 times over that span but have also lost twice. At home, Torres average 17.5 shots and 6.75 shots on target per match, significantly more than Atalanta II away, with averages of 10.33 and 2.67, respectively. The hosts’ advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their average home xG is 2.12, compared with 1.24 for the visitors away. Torres concede an average of 0.75 goals at home, while Atalanta II concede 1.67 away and have failed to score in 67% of those matches, further supporting a home win.

BTTS - Yes has landed in 67% of Sassari Torres matches and 33% of Atalanta II matches, but those rates have risen to 80% and 60%, respectively, across the teams’ last five appearances. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals, while the visitors concede 1.67, which points to a Sassari Torres goal. Atalanta II’s chances are boosted by the fact that the hosts allow opponents chances worth an average of 2.05 xG, while the visitors generate 1.24 xG. The risk with this pick is that Atalanta II have failed to score in 67% of their matches; however, they have averaged 1.4 goals across their last five games. Therefore, both teams scoring is a slightly more likely scenario, although the edge for this selection is narrow.

In Sassari Torres’ matches so far, at least 2 goals have been scored every time, while this has occurred in 67% of Atalanta II’s matches, making Over 1.5 the outcome best supported by the results. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals, while the visitors concede 1.67, boosting the chances of Sassari Torres finding the net. Atalanta II score an average of 1.00 goal, but Sassari Torres concede 1.33 and have yet to keep a clean sheet, so an away goal is also a realistic prospect. The projected total of 2.60 goals supports Over 1.5, but the edge is considerably smaller at the 2.5 line: it has been exceeded in 40% of the hosts’ and 60% of the visitors’ last 5 matches.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Sassari Torres were level at the break in 67% of their home matches, while Atalanta II were level in 60% of their last five games. The hosts conceded an average of 0.00 goals before half-time at home, but scored just 0.33 themselves, pointing to a closely contested first half. Sassari Torres’ chances improve after the break: they won the second half in 60% of their last five matches, compared with 20% for Atalanta II, who conceded an average of 1.4 goals in that period. The case for a home win at full-time is also supported by Sassari Torres’ average of 2.0 points per home match, compared with the visitors’ 1.0 points per away match. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a Sassari Torres win after 90 minutes is the strongest signal, although the visitors’ solid first-half performances make this pick less certain.