Sassari Torres vs Livorno: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to an evenly-matched encounter between two teams in poor form. Sassari Torres at home have a very high draw percentage (50%) and only a 13% win rate, making them one of the most draw-prone teams on their own ground. Livorno away perform even worse with a 60% loss rate and only 20% wins, but their recent form (0.6 PPG) is worse than the hosts' (1.2 PPG). Both teams have a negative goal difference (hosts -9, visitors -13) and similar average xG (1.35 vs 1.34), suggesting balanced offensive potential. Considering the hosts' tendency to draw at home and Livorno's poor away form, the most likely outcome is a draw. The last five matches of both teams (LWDDD for the hosts, DLDDL for the visitors) further confirm the advantage of the draw scenario.
Sassari Torres vs Livorno: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sassari Torres play Livorno in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Sassari Torres: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Livorno: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sassari Torres scores 0.89 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Livorno scores 1.08 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sassari Torres 56%, Livorno 53%. Over 2.5: Sassari Torres 36%, Livorno 58%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Sassari Torres has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.31. Sassari Torres: 11.1 shots per match, Livorno: 10.3.
Match halves
Sassari Torres: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.44. Livorno: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Sassari Torres: 0-15 (7 goals). Livorno: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to an evenly-matched encounter between two teams in poor form. Sassari Torres at home have a very high draw percentage (50%) and only a 13% win rate, making them one of the most draw-prone teams on their own ground. Livorno away perform even worse with a 60% loss rate and only 20% wins, but their recent form (0.6 PPG) is worse than the hosts' (1.2 PPG). Both teams have a negative goal difference (hosts -9, visitors -13) and similar average xG (1.35 vs 1.34), suggesting balanced offensive potential. Considering the hosts' tendency to draw at home and Livorno's poor away form, the most likely outcome is a draw. The last five matches of both teams (LWDDD for the hosts, DLDDL for the visitors) further confirm the advantage of the draw scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sassari Torres | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Livorno is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Sassari Torres · 1.08 goals / match - Livorno
Sassari Torres is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Sassari Torres · 1.42 goals / match - Livorno
Sassari Torres scores in 61% of matches (22 of 36 matches), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
Livorno scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Sassari Torres keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sassari Torres
Over / Under — Livorno
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Livorno is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Sassari Torres · 1.31 pts / match - Livorno
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sassari Torres - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Livorno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sassari Torres
Livorno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Sassari Torres | Liga | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 39% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sassari Torres 0 - 0 - 1 Livorno. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sassari Torres vs Livorno?
The Serie C Group B match finished Sassari Torres 3:1 Livorno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sassari Torres vs Livorno?
Sassari Torres score 0.89 goals per game on average and Livorno 1.08. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Sassari Torres's matches and 53% of Livorno's.
What form are Sassari Torres and Livorno in?
Over the last 5 games Sassari Torres have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Livorno 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sassari Torres vs Livorno?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sassari Torres vs Livorno: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.