Sassuolo vs AC Milan: match statistics
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Sassuolo vs AC Milan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sassuolo play AC Milan in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 11 October 2026. Venue: MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore.
Current form
Sassuolo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. AC Milan: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sassuolo scores 1.80 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. AC Milan scores 2.00 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sassuolo 100%, AC Milan 60%. Over 2.5: Sassuolo 100%, AC Milan 60%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Sassuolo has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.42. Sassuolo: 17.2 shots per match, AC Milan: 12.8.
Match halves
Sassuolo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.40. AC Milan: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.80.
Goals by minute
Sassuolo: 76-90+ (4 goals). AC Milan: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sassuolo | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AC Milan is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sassuolo · 2.2 pts / match - AC Milan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - Sassuolo · 2 goals / match - AC Milan
AC Milan is 125% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Sassuolo · 0.8 goals / match - AC Milan
Sassuolo scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
AC Milan scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Sassuolo keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sassuolo
Over / Under - AC Milan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sassuolo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sassuolo
AC Milan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Sassuolo | Liga | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.60 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 64% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sassuolo 1 - 1 - 0 AC Milan. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Sassuolo and AC Milan play?
Sassuolo face AC Milan on 11 October 2026 in Serie A at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and AC Milan?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 1, AC Milan won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
Sassuolo score 1.80 goals per game on average and AC Milan 2.00. The Serie A average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Sassuolo's matches and 60% of AC Milan's.
What form are Sassuolo and AC Milan in?
Over the last 5 games Sassuolo have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AC Milan 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
The statistical background for Sassuolo vs AC Milan — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.