Italy - Serie C Group CStadio Alfredo GiraudData current as of 18 September 2026

Savoia vs Virtus Casarano: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Savoia vs Virtus Casarano: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Savoia play Virtus Casarano in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 19 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Alfredo Giraud.

Current form

Savoia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Virtus Casarano: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Savoia scores 1.20 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Virtus Casarano scores 1.80 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.92 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Savoia 60%, Virtus Casarano 60%. Over 2.5: Savoia 40%, Virtus Casarano 60%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Virtus Casarano has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.24. Savoia: 9.2 shots per match, Virtus Casarano: 11.2.

Match halves

Savoia: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20. Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

Savoia: 0-15 (3 goals). Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.2Goals scored / match1.8
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
1.2Goals conceded / match1.8
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
47%Average possession51%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
3.4Shots on target / match4.8
SavoiaVirtus Casarano

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.2Shots per match11.2
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
3.4Shots on target4.8
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
13%Shot conversion16.1%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
47%Possession51%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
1.24xG for1.39
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
1.52xG against1.99
SavoiaVirtus Casarano

Shooting quality

Savoia: Counter-attackingVirtus Casarano: Efficient finishing
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
Accuracy (shots on target)37%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Virtus Casarano is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Savoia · 1.8 pts / match - Virtus Casarano

Savoia
LLWDD
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
LD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Virtus Casarano
LWLWW
Season result split
60% W0% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.99BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Virtus Casarano is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.2 goals / match - Savoia · 1.8 goals / match - Virtus Casarano

Savoia is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.2 goals / match - Savoia · 1.8 goals / match - Virtus Casarano

Savoia scoring profile: very strong

Savoia scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

Virtus Casarano scoring profile: strong

Virtus Casarano scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Savoia keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

6Goals scored (season)9
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
6Goals conceded (season)9
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
2.4Average goals in match3.6
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
6Goals scored (last 5)9
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
SavoiaVirtus Casarano

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
40%2 goals40%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
0%3 goals40%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
0%4 goals20%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal80%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
40%2 goals40%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
20%3 goals40%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
0%4 goals20%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time20%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
20%BTTS in both halves20%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
20%Scored in both halves40%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
60%BTTS - last 560%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano

2nd half

40%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time60%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Virtus Casarano is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.6 pts / match - Savoia · 1.8 pts / match - Virtus Casarano

Savoia - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing
Virtus Casarano - half-time state
40% leading60% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.6Points per match (1st half)1.8
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
1Goals scored (1st half)0.6
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
1.6Average goals (1st half)0.8
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
60%Clean sheet before half-time80%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
20%No goal before half-time40%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano

After half-time (2nd half)

0.6Points per match (2nd half)1.4
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
0.2Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)1.6
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
0.8Average goals (2nd half)2.8
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
60%Clean sheet after half-time20%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano
80%No goal after half-time40%
SavoiaVirtus Casarano

Savoia - second-half results

0% W60% D40% L
8
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Virtus Casarano - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.4

Concedes 1.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Savoia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Virtus Casarano - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.6
Average goals in match0.82.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Savoia
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Virtus Casarano
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
4
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Savoia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.8
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Virtus Casarano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

SavoiaLigaVirtus Casarano
Average goals in match 2.402.92 3.60
Both teams scored 60%52% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%52% 60%
Clean sheets 40%28% 20%
Goal before half-time 80%78% 60%
Goal after half-time 40%72% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.66
Home goals / match
1.26
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Savoia and Virtus Casarano play?

Savoia face Virtus Casarano on 19 September 2026 in Serie C Group C at Stadio Alfredo Giraud. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Savoia vs Virtus Casarano?

Savoia score 1.20 goals per game on average and Virtus Casarano 1.80. The Serie C Group C average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Savoia's matches and 60% of Virtus Casarano's.

What form are Savoia and Virtus Casarano in?

Over the last 5 games Savoia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Virtus Casarano 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Savoia vs Virtus Casarano?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.