Scafatese vs Picerno: match statistics

Scafatese remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while Picerno suffered one defeat over the same period. The hosts scored 13 goals in these games, 4 more than the visitors, highlighting their significantly greater attacking potential. Scafatese’s defence was also slightly more reliable, conceding 5 goals compared with Picerno’s 6 in their last five appearances. Picerno made a strong start to the current campaign, winning their only match and scoring 3 goals, but the hosts have averaged 2.6 goals per game during their run. Home advantage and superior recent attacking form point to a narrow Scafatese victory.

The latest form clearly supports goals at both ends: Scafatese recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, while Picerno did so in as many as 80%. During this period, the hosts averaged 2.6 goals per game, compared with 1.8 for the visitors, indicating genuine attacking potential from both teams. Scafatese conceded an average of 1.0 goals, while Picerno conceded 1.2, alongside a high xG against the hosts of 1.67 and an xG against the visitors of 1.29. Another supporting factor is the league profile, where BTTS has landed in 86% of matches, while clean sheets account for only 14%. Picerno’s incomplete season data calls for caution, but the current results and figures from the last five matches more clearly point towards a scenario in which both teams score.

Both teams are showing strong attacking form: Scafatese have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.6 per game, while Picerno have scored 9, averaging 1.8 per game. At the same time, neither side has been particularly solid defensively, conceding an average of 1.0 and 1.2 goals respectively during this period. In their last five appearances, at least 3 goals were scored in 60% of Scafatese’s matches and as many as 80% of Picerno’s, while both teams scored in 60% and 80% of these games respectively. The xG figures also point to an open game, with Scafatese averaging 1.56 xG and Picerno 1.31 xG, while the hosts allow 1.67 xG. The Over 1.5 goals line offers the greatest edge, as the projected total of 2.85 goals provides a substantial margin even if finishing efficiency is lower than in the recent form.

Scafatese have averaged 2.6 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded over their last five matches, while Picerno have recorded 1.8 and 1.2 respectively, giving the hosts a moderate advantage over the full 90 minutes. The visitors have been level at half-time in 80% of their recent games and have scored only 0.4 goals per match before the break, making a draw in the opening period the most likely outcome. Scafatese average 1.0 goal scored and 0.4 conceded before half-time, but they have led at the break in only 40% of their last five matches, which limits the likelihood of the 1/1 outcome. After the break, the hosts average 1.6 goals, and their second-half goal difference stands at +5 across those five matches, making a half-time draw followed by a Scafatese win at full-time the strongest scenario.