Scafatese vs Team Altamura: match statistics

Scafatese remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 1 win and as many as 4 draws, while Team Altamura have lost 3 of their previous 5 games. The hosts create significantly more chances at home: their average xG stands at 1.34 compared with 0.80 for the visitors, while their average number of shots is 12 to 5.5. Scafatese’s main issue, however, is their finishing at home, as they have failed to score in any of their matches on home soil despite averaging 53% possession. Altamura score just 0.5 goals per away game, have kept no clean sheets on the road and allow opponents an average of 1.71 xG. Both teams have recorded draws in 50% of their respective home and away matches, making a low-scoring draw the most likely outcome, with the hosts holding a slight edge in the quality of chances created.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Scafatese score an average of just 0.75 goals at home, while Team Altamura manage only 0.50 away from home. The hosts have failed to score in 50% of their matches, and the visitors in 50%, significantly increasing the risk that at least one side will remain goalless. Scafatese’s seasonal BTTS rate stands at just 25%, compared with 50% for Altamura, against a league average of 55%. Although the hosts’ last five matches produced BTTS in 80% of cases, Altamura scored only 0.8 goals per game during this period and lost three of those five matches. The hosts’ xG of 1.24 and the visitors’ 0.80 suggest limited attacking potential, even though Altamura’s defence has yet to keep a clean sheet.

Scafatese create chances worth an average of 1.24 xG at home, while Altamura allow opponents 1.71 xG away from home, supporting a projection of around 1.35 goals for the hosts. The visitors score only 0.50 goals per away match and average 2.0 shots on target, although their last five matches produced a higher 1.39 xG. Neither team has yet recorded a match with at least four goals, and 100% of their matches so far have stayed below 3.5 goals. Their attacking profile also remains limited: Scafatese average 8.75 shots, while Altamura manage just 5.5. The Under 3.5 goals line therefore has the strongest support from the visitors’ low attacking output and the consistently low frequency of very high-scoring games for both sides.

Scafatese have the clear attacking advantage: the hosts’ average xG is 1.24, compared with just 0.80 for Team Altamura, while Scafatese average 3.75 shots on target to the visitors’ 2.00. In their last five matches, Scafatese have been behind at half-time only once, led at the break in 40% of games, and conceded just 0.2 goals per match before the interval. Over the same period, Altamura failed to score in any first half, were behind at half-time in 60% of matches, and conceded an average of 1.0 goal before the break. After half-time, the visitors remain vulnerable defensively, as they have conceded an average of 1.0 goal in the second half over the course of the season and have not won a single second half. The most logical scenario is therefore for Scafatese to capitalise on their advantage before the break and then hold on to their lead until the final whistle.