Schalke 04 vs Karlsruher SC: match statistics
Schalke 04 vs Karlsruher SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Schalke 04 played Karlsruher SC in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Schalke 04: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Karlsruher SC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Schalke 04 scores 1.41 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Karlsruher SC scores 1.59 and concedes 1.89. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Schalke 04 48%, Karlsruher SC 59%. Over 2.5: Schalke 04 44%, Karlsruher SC 74%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Schalke 04 has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.37. Schalke 04: 13.8 shots per match, Karlsruher SC: 12.2.
Match halves
Schalke 04: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.70. Karlsruher SC: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Schalke 04: 76-90+ (10 goals). Karlsruher SC: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Schalke are the favorites for this fixture: at home they win 69% of matches, score on average 1.69 goals and concede only 1.00 goal per game, with home xG 1.69 versus xG against 1.08. Karlsruher have only a 21% win rate away, score 1.21 goals on average but concede as many as 2.07 goals per match and have an away goal difference of -12; additionally, in 50% of away games they fail to score. The hosts attempt more on-target shots (5.46 vs 3.43), have a slightly better conversion rate (11 vs 10) and a higher xG (1.69 vs 1.31), suggesting they create better scoring opportunities. It should be noted the visitors are in good form over the last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss and 12 goals) while Schalke have scored only 5 goals in that period and average 1.2 points per game. Considering the home side’s defensive stability (38% clean sheets at home) and the visitors’ susceptibility to conceding away, I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor the 'both teams to score' scenario (BTTS - Yes) as more likely, primarily due to Schalke's high home BTTS rate of 77% this season and the league BTTS level at 60%. Karlsruher's season BTTS rate is lower at 43%, but in the last 5 matches they have BTTS 80% and average 2.4 goals (12 goals in 5 matches), indicating current scoring form. Both teams are defensively vulnerable: Schalke concedes 1.69 goals per game with xG against 1.74, while Karlsruher concedes 2.07 goals per game with xG against 1.71, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Offensively Schalke records 4.92 shots on target per match versus Karlsruher's 3.43 and has a higher attacking xG 1.42 versus 1.31, and the low clean sheet percentages of 15% and 21% further support BTTS. Combining Schalke's 77% home BTTS, Karlsruher's 80% BTTS in the last 5, and the league 60% BTTS, I give a strong 'yes' signal with a probability of 72%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model indicates a total of approximately 3.10 expected goals: 1.57 for Schalke (attacking xG 1.42 vs xG conceded to Karlsruher 1.71) and 1.53 for Karlsruher (attacking xG 1.31 vs xG conceded to Schalke 1.74). Seasonal stats reinforce this signal – Schalke score on average 2.0 goals at home and have 77% of matches over 2.5, while Karlsruher concede on average 2.07 goals away and the share of matches over 1.5 is 92% (Schalke) vs 79% (Karlsruher). Additionally, Schalke average 4.92 shots on target out of 12.31 shots with a conversion rate of 16%, and Karlsruhe 3.43 shots on target out of 12.14 shots with a 10% conversion, which supports chance creation and finishing. A simple Poisson simulation on total xG=3.10 translates to roughly 82% chance of Over 1.5, ~60% for Over 2.5 and ~38% for Over 3.5, therefore the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5. For these reasons I recommend backing the Over side at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The projection favors a half-time draw with Schalke winning after 90 minutes (X/1). Schalke win 54% of home matches and average 1.85 points per game, while Karlsruher have a 21% win rate and 0.93 points per game, indicating a home advantage. A draw at the break is realistic because Schalke were level at half-time in 31% of matches and Karlsruher in 36%; after the interval Schalke score on average 1.38 goals versus Karlsruher’s 0.79 and collect 2.08 points in second halves compared to the visitors’ 1.07. Additionally, Schalke register 4.92 on-target shots per game with a 16% conversion rate versus 3.43 and 10% for Karlsruher, so the strongest signal from the data is X/1 (22%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Schalke 04 | Karlsruher SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Karlsruher SC is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Schalke 04 · 2 pts / match - Karlsruher SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karlsruher SC is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Schalke 04 · 1.59 goals / match - Karlsruher SC
Schalke 04 is 112% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Schalke 04 · 1.89 goals / match - Karlsruher SC
Schalke 04 scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Karlsruher SC keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
Karlsruher SC scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Schalke 04 keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Schalke 04
Over / Under - Karlsruher SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Schalke 04 is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - Schalke 04 · 1.11 pts / match - Karlsruher SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Schalke 04 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Karlsruher SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Schalke 04
Karlsruher SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Schalke 04 | Liga | Karlsruher SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.30 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 60% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 60% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 23% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 85% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Schalke 04 0 - 0 - 1 Karlsruher SC. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Schalke 04 vs Karlsruher SC?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Schalke 04 1:0 Karlsruher SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Schalke 04 vs Karlsruher SC?
Schalke 04 score 1.41 goals per game on average and Karlsruher SC 1.59. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Schalke 04's matches and 59% of Karlsruher SC's.
What form are Schalke 04 and Karlsruher SC in?
Over the last 5 games Schalke 04 have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Karlsruher SC 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Schalke 04 vs Karlsruher SC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Schalke 04 vs Karlsruher SC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.